Welcome to our comprehensive weekly analysis of Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) for Week 45, November 2025! This report dives deep into the latest technical, news-driven, and fundamental developments shaping NFLX’s price action, and provides actionable trading scenarios for the week ahead.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.

📈 Technical Chart Review

• Trend: Sideways, with price oscillating between $1,100 and $1,130, hugging the 10-day moving average.

• Momentum: RSI at 40.61 (bearish, approaching oversold). MACD neutral to slightly bearish.

• Volume: Lower volume on recent price rises, indicating weak buying pressure.

• Pattern: Range-bound. Recent rejection at $1,130 suggests persistent resistance.

📰 Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)

1. 10-for-1 Stock Split Announced: Netflix will split its stock 10-for-1, effective for shareholders of record as of November 10, 2025, with split-adjusted trading beginning November 17, 2025. This move is expected to improve liquidity and attract more retail investors. [Source]

2. Q3 2025 Earnings Recap: Netflix reported Q3 EPS of $5.87 (below the $6.88 consensus), with revenue up 17.2% to $11.51B (slightly below estimates). Despite the miss, YTD revenues are up 15% and operating margin has improved to 31.3%. [Source]

3. Content & Macro Catalysts: Anticipation is high for Q4’s content slate, including major series finales and exclusive sports programming, which could drive subscriber growth and engagement. [Source]

🔎 Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Patterns & Indicators

• Support: $1,118.86 (major), $1,105.00 (minor)

• Resistance: $1,130.99 (major), $1,204.04 (minor)

• Pattern: Range-bound between $1,100 and $1,130. Price has failed to break above $1,130 multiple times, indicating strong supply at this level.

• MACD: Neutral to slightly bearish, confirming lack of momentum for a breakout.

• Volume: Recent rallies have occurred on lower volume, suggesting weak conviction among buyers.

Chart Structure & Trade Setups

• Aggressive short: Consider shorting near $1,130 with a stop-loss at $1,140 and target at $1,110. Rationale: Resistance at range top likely to hold short-term.

• Conservative long: Wait for a confirmed breakout above $1,130.99 (ideally with volume), enter long at $1,140 with stop-loss at $1,120 and target at $1,200.

• Invalidation: Sustained move above $1,130.99 with strong volume would shift bias to bullish.

💡 Fundamental & News Impact

• Stock Split: The 10-for-1 split could increase retail participation and improve liquidity, but does not alter underlying fundamentals.

• Profitability: Operating margin expansion and double-digit revenue growth highlight Netflix’s improving business model, despite a recent EPS miss.

• Content Pipeline: High-profile releases and exclusive sports content in Q4 could drive subscriber growth and engagement, supporting the bullish case if technical resistance is overcome.

• Valuation: P/E ratio near 47 reflects high growth expectations; any disappointment in subscriber or earnings growth could trigger volatility.

📊 Scenario Outlook for This Week

📝 Risk Management

• Use no more than 1% of trading capital per position.

• Monitor for news surprises, especially around the stock split and content releases.

• Adjust stops and targets if volatility increases.

🔚 Summary & Key Takeaways

• NFLX is consolidating in a tight range, with technicals suggesting caution until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs.

• The upcoming stock split and Q4 content launches are key catalysts to watch.

• Traders should be prepared for increased volatility as these events approach, and manage risk accordingly.

For more updates, stay tuned to our weekly analysis. Trade safe and stay informed! 🚦