Welcome to our in-depth weekly analysis of JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) for Week 3 of October 2025! This post provides actionable insights for traders and investors, blending the latest technical chart data, recent news, and a forward-looking scenario plan for the week ahead. Let’s dive in! 🚀

📰 Latest News & Fundamental Developments

• Strategic Investment: JPMorgan announced a $10 billion investment in U.S. national security sectors, part of a $1.5 trillion decade-long Security and Resiliency Initiative. This move aims to strengthen critical supply chains and reduce reliance on foreign sources. [Source]

• Q3 Earnings Beat: On October 14, JPM reported Q3 2025 net income of $14.4 billion ($5.07 EPS), beating analyst estimates ($4.83 EPS). Historically, JPM stock sees modest gains post-earnings. [Source]

• Investor Sentiment: News sentiment remains positive (score: 0.87), but a slight uptick in short interest (+0.37%) suggests some caution. [Source]

📈 Technical Analysis

🔍 Chart Structure & Interpretation

• The weekly chart shows a clear downtrend, with price action below the 9-day EMA and a series of lower highs.

• Volume spikes on red candles suggest institutional selling.

• The descending triangle pattern signals a risk of further breakdown if support at 291.70 fails.

• RSI at 40.33 leaves room for further downside before reaching oversold territory.

💡 Fundamental & News Impact

JPMorgan’s robust Q3 earnings and ambitious national security investment initiative have provided a positive backdrop, but the technicals indicate that the market is currently focused on macro risks and profit-taking. While the news flow is supportive, the uptick in short interest and persistent selling pressure on the chart suggest traders remain cautious. The bank’s strategic positioning for supply chain resilience could provide long-term upside, but near-term price action is dominated by technical factors and broader market sentiment.

📊 Possible Scenarios for the Upcoming Week

🎯 Trade Ideas for This Week

• Aggressive Bearish: Short at 297.00, stop-loss at 303.00, target 291.70. Rationale: Continuation of breakdown.

• Conservative Bearish: Wait for a confirmed break below 291.70, short at 291.50, stop-loss at 298.00, target 280.00.

• Bullish Reversal: Only consider long positions if price closes above 303.92 with strong volume.

⚠️ Risk Management

• Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.

• Use ATR-based stops to adjust for volatility.

• Monitor macro headlines and sector news for sudden shifts.

🗓️ Weekly Outlook Summary

Despite strong fundamentals and positive news, JPMorgan Chase faces a technically bearish setup for Week 3 of October 2025. Key support at 291.70 is crucial; a breakdown could accelerate selling toward 280.00. Only a decisive move above 303.92 would shift the outlook to neutral or bullish. Traders should stay nimble, manage risk carefully, and watch for news-driven volatility.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk. Please do your own research before making any financial decisions.