Welcome to the in-depth weekly analysis for Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) – Week 5, October 2025! This post delivers a comprehensive, actionable breakdown of NFLX’s current technical setup, recent news, and fundamental outlook, empowering traders and investors to navigate the week ahead with confidence. 📊🎬

🗞️ Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)

📈 Technical Analysis

• Trend: Bearish – NFLX is trading below key moving averages, with a clear downtrend and declining peaks.

• Momentum: RSI at 34.12 (bearish, approaching oversold). MACD suggests a bearish crossover, confirming momentum to the downside.

• Support Levels:

  • Major: 1100.00 (recent low)

  • Minor: 1065.00

• Resistance Levels:

  • Major: 1135.00 (10-day EMA)

  • Minor: 1208.94

• Pattern: Potential descending triangle forming, which typically signals continuation to the downside if support breaks.

• Volume: Increased on recent declines, indicating strong selling pressure and confirming bearish sentiment.

Technical Summary Table

🧑‍💼 Fundamental & News Impact

• Q3 2025 Earnings: Revenue of $11.51B (+17% YoY), EPS of $5.87 (missed due to $619M Brazilian tax charge).

• Tax Charge: The one-time Brazilian tax charge is a non-recurring event; underlying business remains strong.

• Guidance: Full-year revenue guidance maintained at $45.1B (16% growth), but operating margin trimmed to 29% (from 30%) due to the tax event.

• Strategic Initiatives: Ongoing expansion into ad-supported plans, gaming, licensing, and live events. Price increases in the US/Canada are driving ARPU growth.

• Analyst Sentiment: Despite the earnings miss, analysts remain positive on Netflix’s diversified growth strategy and long-term fundamentals.

Key Data Table

🔮 Scenarios & Trade Setups for the Upcoming Week

• Aggressive traders: Consider shorting a breakdown below 1100.00 with a stop at 1135.00, targeting 1065.00.

• Conservative traders: Wait for a pullback to 1135.00 resistance to enter shorts, or for a confirmed reversal above 1208.94 to shift bias.

• Risk Management: Limit risk to 1% of capital per trade; consider ATR-based stops for volatility.

📅 Weekly Outlook Summary

Netflix enters Week 5 of October 2025 under bearish technical pressure, following a sharp post-earnings selloff driven by a one-off tax charge. While the fundamental growth story remains intact, the technicals suggest a high probability of further downside unless buyers reclaim the 1135.00 resistance. Traders should monitor volume and price action at key levels for actionable signals. Long-term investors may view this as a potential opportunity if the stock stabilizes, given the company’s robust growth drivers and strategic diversification.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.