Welcome to our comprehensive weekly analysis of Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) for Week 2 of November 2025! This blog post delivers a deep dive into MSFT’s technical and fundamental landscape, recent news, and actionable trading scenarios for the week ahead.

🗓️ Date: November 10, 2025 | Week: 2

📈 Price Chart Overview

The chart for MSFT this week reveals a bearish structure:

• Price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day EMAs, confirming a short-term downtrend.

• RSI is at 33.94, showing bearish momentum and approaching oversold territory.

• MACD histogram is negative, reinforcing the bearish bias.

• Volume has increased on down moves and lightened on upswings, indicating distribution.

• Pattern: Descending channel with recent rejection at the upper boundary.

📰 Latest News & Short-Term Catalysts

🔍 Technical Analysis

• Support Levels: 496.00 (major, recent low), 486.00 (minor)

• Resistance Levels: 512.00 (major, 20-day EMA), 525.80 (minor)

• Trend: Downtrend confirmed by price action below EMAs and consistent lower lows.

• Momentum: RSI at 33.94 signals bearish momentum, nearing oversold. MACD histogram negative, suggesting continued weakness.

• Pattern: Descending channel; price recently rejected at upper channel boundary.

• Volume: Bearish volume pattern, with higher volume on declines and lighter volume on rallies.

📊 Technical Table

💡 Fundamental & News Impact

• Q1 2026 earnings beat: Revenue and EPS both above expectations, but market focused on rising capital expenditures for AI/cloud.

• AI & Cloud Growth: Azure and Copilot remain key drivers, with continued investment in AI capacity.

• Analyst Sentiment: Remains positive, with consensus price targets well above current price, but near-term caution due to spending.

• Valuation: P/E ratio and projected earnings growth support long-term bullish case, despite short-term volatility.

🚦 Possible Scenarios for the Upcoming Week

📋 Trade Ideas & Risk Management

• Aggressive Bearish: Short near 500.00 (EMA resistance), stop at 512.00, target 486.00.

• Conservative Bearish: Wait for breakdown below 496.00, short at 495.00, stop at 505.00, target 480.00.

• Bullish: Only consider long if weekly close above 525.80, which would shift trend to neutral/bullish.

• Risk: Limit risk to 0.5–1.0% of capital per trade; use ATR(14) for dynamic stop placement.

🧠 Summary & Outlook

Microsoft’s technicals point to a bearish bias for Week 2 of November 2025, with price action below key EMAs, negative momentum, and distribution volume. Despite robust earnings and strong AI/cloud fundamentals, the market is cautious on near-term spending. Watch for a decisive move at the 496.00–512.00 range for direction. Long-term, MSFT remains a leader in tech, but short-term traders should respect the current downtrend and manage risk accordingly.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.