Welcome to our comprehensive weekly analysis of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) for Week 1, December 2025. This post covers the latest price action, essential news, technical and fundamental insights, and actionable scenarios for the upcoming week. Whether you’re a trader or investor, this guide will help you navigate the current Bitcoin landscape with clarity and discipline. (Week number and date: Week 1, December 29, 2025)

📈 Price Chart Overview

See full-width chart above for reference (includes volume and MACD).

• Trend: Sideways, consolidating between moving averages.

• Momentum: Bearish momentum moderating, RSI at 45.53 (neutral).

• Pattern: Range-bound, consolidation phase.

• Volume: Decreasing during consolidation, signaling indecision.

📰 Latest News & Short-Term Catalysts (Past 7 Days)

🔎 Technical Analysis

• Support Levels:

  • Major: 87,875.57 (recent swing low)

  • Minor: 87,862.69

  • Short-term: 80,000–82,000 (as flagged in news coverage)

• Resistance Levels:

  • Major: 90,976.67 (upper consolidation boundary)

  • Breakout trigger: 93,000 (sustained move above could shift bias bullish)

• Trend: Sideways, consolidating near the 10-day SMA. No clear directional bias.

• Momentum: RSI at 45.53 indicates neutral momentum. MACD shows bearish momentum is moderating, with potential for a shift if volume increases.

• Volume: Decreasing during consolidation, suggesting market indecision and potential for a breakout once volume returns.

• Pattern: Range-bound, with price oscillating between key support and resistance.

📊 Fundamental & News Impact

• Options Expiry: The $23B expiry on Dec. 26 created significant short-term volatility, as market makers unwound positions and liquidity thinned. This event is a major driver of recent price swings.

• Exchange-Specific Risks: The Binance flash crash (to $24,000) was an isolated event, but it highlights the need for traders to use consolidated price indexes and be wary of exchange anomalies.

• Profit Taking & Liquidity: Year-end profit-taking and low liquidity have amplified market moves, making the environment more prone to sharp swings and potential whipsaws.

• Macro Backdrop: Analysts are split, with some expecting a bullish reversal toward $100k, while others warn of deeper pullbacks if key supports fail. Macro liquidity and potential US policy moves remain background drivers.

🛠️ Actionable Scenarios for the Upcoming Week

Key Points for Traders

• Expect continued volatility as options expiry effects settle and liquidity remains thin.

• Monitor key support (80,000–82,000) and resistance (90,976.67–93,000) for breakout/breakdown signals.

• Use consolidated price indexes for execution to avoid exchange-specific anomalies.

• Risk management is critical: limit exposure and use dynamic stops.

• Stay alert for macro headlines and further exchange updates.

📅 Weekly Outlook Summary

• Bias: Neutral to cautious bullish if 93,000 is reclaimed; bearish if 87,875 fails.

• Confidence: Low — sideways movement and mixed indicators suggest uncertainty.

• Watch for: Volume spikes, options expiry aftershocks, and macro news flow.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk.