Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 47, November 2025
Ideas
Nov 18, 2025
3 Min Read
Comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) for Week 47, November 2025: price chart, technical and fundamental insights, latest news, and actionable trading scenarios. Stay updated on BTC trends and market catalysts.
Welcome to our in-depth weekly analysis of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) for Week 47, November 2025! As the world’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin continues to capture the attention of traders and investors. This week’s review provides a comprehensive look at BTCUSD’s technical structure, latest news, and actionable scenarios for the days ahead. 📈💡
Summary of the Week
Bitcoin has experienced a bearish shift this week, trading below key moving averages and printing a new lower low. The price action remains volatile, with significant institutional activity and macroeconomic catalysts influencing sentiment. Let’s break down the technicals, news, and what to watch for the upcoming week.
Latest News & Short-Term Catalysts 📰
Market Volatility & Institutional Activity: Bitcoin traded between $94,842 and $96,471 in the last 24 hours, with a modest uptick. Massive bid walls on Binance Futures around $95,000–$97,000 suggest strong institutional accumulation and a potential local bottom. (source)
Macro Liquidity & Regulatory Catalysts: A Treasury General Account liquidity injection (~$100 billion) is expected in November, historically supporting BTC prices. Additionally, potential CFTC approval for leveraged BTC/ETH spot trading could unlock $50 billion in new capital. (source)
Recent Price Crash & Recovery Attempts: Bitcoin’s price fell sharply from October’s peak of $125,000 to $93,000 in early November, reflecting heightened volatility. Despite this, institutional holdings have increased by over $500 million in the past 30 days. (source)
Technical Analysis 🔍
Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
Trend | Downtrend – price below 9- and 14-day EMAs, confirming bearish momentum. |
Support Levels | Major: $92,000 (recent swing low); Minor: $88,000. |
Resistance Levels | Major: $99,752 (recent breakdown); Minor: $102,130. |
Pattern | Descending channel with repeated rejection at $99,752. |
Momentum | RSI at 33.65 (bearish, near oversold); MACD negative and widening. |
Volume | Decreasing on rallies, increasing on declines – signals sellers in control. |
Chart Structure & Interpretation
Descending Channel: BTCUSD is confined within a downward sloping channel, with lower highs and lower lows dominating the structure.
Failed Breakouts: Multiple attempts to reclaim $99,752 have failed, reinforcing this as a key resistance zone.
Volume & MACD: Decreasing volume on rallies and increasing on declines support the bearish case. The MACD remains negative, with no bullish crossover in sight.
Fundamental & News Impact 🏦
Despite the technical weakness, several fundamental factors are at play:
Institutional Accumulation: The presence of large bid walls and increased institutional holdings suggest that major players are buying the dip, potentially cushioning further downside.
Macro Environment: Liquidity injections and possible regulatory changes (CFTC approval) could act as bullish catalysts, but macroeconomic uncertainty and hawkish Fed commentary continue to weigh on risk assets.
Volatility Drivers: The recent $340 billion market cap wipeout and sharp price swings highlight the ongoing risk and sensitivity to global events.
Actionable Scenarios for the Upcoming Week 🚦
Scenario | Trigger/Confirmation | Potential Move | Key Levels |
|---|---|---|---|
Bullish 🟢 | Daily close above $102,130 | Potential reversal, targeting $108,000 – $110,000 | Resistance: $99,752, $102,130 |
Bearish 🔴 | Failure to reclaim $99,752; rejection at resistance | Continuation of downtrend, targeting $92,000 (major support), then $88,000 | Support: $92,000, $88,000 |
Neutral 🟡 | Range-bound between $92,000 and $99,752 | Choppy trading, low conviction; wait for breakout or breakdown | Range: $92,000 – $99,752 |
Trade Ideas
Aggressive: Consider shorting near $98,000 with stop-loss at $102,600, targeting $92,000. Rationale: Downtrend continuation with resistance holding.
Conservative: Wait for another test of $99,752; short in the $99,000–$100,000 zone with stop-loss at $102,600, targeting $92,000.
Invalidation: A daily close above $102,130 would suggest a possible trend reversal to bullish.
Risk Management Tip: Limit risk to 0.5–1% of capital per trade. Use ATR (Average True Range) for dynamic stop adjustment.
Summary Table: Key Metrics
Metric | Value |
|---|---|
Current Price (Nov 17, 2025) | $95,076 |
Major Support | $92,000 |
Major Resistance | $99,752 |
RSI | 33.65 (bearish) |
MACD | Negative, bearish momentum |
Volume Trend | Decreasing on rallies, increasing on declines |
Conclusion & Outlook 🔮
Bitcoin enters Week 47 of 2025 with a clear bearish bias, but institutional accumulation and macro liquidity events could provide a floor or even spark a reversal if resistance is broken. Traders should watch the $99,752–$102,130 resistance zone closely for signs of a trend change. Until then, the path of least resistance remains to the downside, with $92,000 and $88,000 as key support levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making trading decisions.

Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
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