Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 5 October 2025
Ideas
Oct 30, 2025
3 Min Read
In-depth weekly analysis of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) for Week 5 of October 2025: chart review, technical and fundamental insights, key support/resistance, and actionable trading scenarios.
Welcome to this week’s comprehensive analysis of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) for Week 5 of October 2025. In this post, we’ll break down the latest price action, key technical and fundamental drivers, and actionable scenarios for traders and investors.
Let’s dive in! 📊
📰 Latest News & Catalysts (Oct 23–30, 2025)
Q3 Earnings Beat: Berkshire Hathaway reported Q3 earnings on October 29, 2025, with EPS of $7,750 (vs. $7,510 estimate) and revenue of $92.52B (vs. $91.96B estimate). Next quarter guidance is strong, with projected EPS of $8,570 and revenue of $95.62B. [source]
OxyChem Acquisition: The company’s $9.7B acquisition of Occidental Petroleum’s chemical business (OxyChem) is under investor scrutiny, with some concerns about integration after mixed results from previous chemicals deals. [source]
Leadership Transition: Warren Buffett’s potential retirement at year-end is a topic of discussion, but has not yet impacted operational outlook or investor sentiment. [source]
📈 Technical Analysis
Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
Trend | Downtrend – Price below 9- and 10-week EMAs, with a clear downward slope since September. |
Momentum | RSI at 30.70 (near oversold), indicating strong bearish momentum. |
Pattern | Possible descending triangle forming, a bearish continuation pattern. |
Volume | Volume increasing on down moves, signaling strong selling pressure. |
MACD | Bearish crossover confirmed, with widening histogram bars. |
Support | Major: 712,900; Minor: 700,000 |
Resistance | Major: 737,954; Minor: 736,398 |
🔍 Chart Structure & Interpretation
Bearish Bias: Weekly price is below key moving averages, with downward momentum increasing.
Volume Analysis: The uptick in volume on down days suggests institutional selling and a lack of strong dip-buying interest.
Pattern Watch: The descending triangle pattern, if confirmed by a break below support, could trigger further downside.
💼 Fundamental & News Impact
Earnings Strength: Q3 results beat expectations, supporting long-term confidence even as short-term price action weakens.
Acquisition Risk: The OxyChem deal adds uncertainty, as investors recall mixed results from past chemicals sector deals.
Leadership Transition: Buffett’s potential retirement is on the horizon, but no immediate impact on operations or sentiment is observed.
Portfolio Adjustments: Ongoing rebalancing in insurance and equity holdings is contributing to short-term volatility.
📊 Scenario Outlook for Week 5 (Oct 30–Nov 5, 2025)
Scenario | Trigger | Key Levels | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bullish 🟢 | Weekly close above 737,954 | Target: 750,000+ | Low | Wait for confirmation above resistance before entering long positions. |
Bearish 🔴 | Break below 712,900 (major support) | Target: 700,000 | High | Short below 712,000; Stop Loss: 725,000; Target: 700,000. |
Neutral 🟡 | Range-bound between 712,900 and 737,954 | Watch for consolidation | Moderate | Wait for a clear breakout or breakdown before committing capital. |
Trade Ideas for the Week
Aggressive: Short at 712,000 (breakdown), SL 725,000, Target 700,000. Rationale: Breakdown of support with high volume.
Conservative: Wait for a pullback to 730,000, Short 730,000, SL 740,000, Target 712,000.
Invalidation: Weekly close above 737,954 shifts bias to neutral/bullish.
⚖️ Risk Management & Volatility
Risk 0.5–1% of capital per trade.
Use ATR-based stops to account for volatility.
Monitor volume and price action for confirmation of breakouts or breakdowns.
📅 Timeframe Alignment
Daily Chart: Confirms bearish trend, with lower highs and lower lows.
Intraday Bias: Likely to reinforce downside movement unless a significant reversal occurs.
🔗 Useful Resources
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk. Please conduct your own research or consult a professional before making investment decisions.
Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
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