Welcome to our in-depth weekly analysis of JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) for Week 49, December 2025. This report delivers a comprehensive review of the latest technical signals, news catalysts, and actionable trade scenarios to help you navigate the current market environment. (Today’s date: December 1, 2025)

📈 Price Chart Overview

The chart for JPM this week reveals a bullish setup as the price rebounds above the 10-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), supported by increasing volume and an improving Relative Strength Index (RSI). The emerging uptrend is further highlighted by a possible ascending triangle pattern, with recent higher lows and resistance levels in focus. Volume is notably rising on upward moves, suggesting strong buying interest.

📰 Latest News & Fundamental Context

• Q3 2025 Earnings: JPMorgan reported robust net income of $14.4B and EPS of $5.07, with a 20% return on tangible common equity. Revenue grew 9% YoY to $47.1B, driven by Markets, Payments, Investment Banking, and Wealth Management. The dividend was raised to $1.50/share, reflecting management’s confidence. [Source]

• Strategic Investment: On November 30, JPMorgan made a $65.26 million investment in Circle Internet Group, signaling ongoing interest in blockchain and digital finance. [Source]

• Macroeconomic Outlook: The Federal Reserve’s December 2025 meeting is in focus, with potential policy shifts that could impact financial stocks. JPMorgan projects 2026 net interest income at $95B despite challenging equity market conditions. [Source]

🔍 Technical Analysis

• Trend: Emerging uptrend, with price action above the 10-day SMA and a possible ascending triangle pattern.

• Momentum: RSI at 58.40, reflecting bullish momentum; MACD (not shown) likely approaching a positive crossover.

• Volume: Increasing on rallies, confirming buyer conviction.

• Support/Resistance: Key support at 302.12 and 290.51; resistance at 305.38 and 313.08.

• Pattern: Higher lows and horizontal resistance suggest a potential breakout scenario.

📊 Fundamental & News Impact

JPMorgan’s strong Q3 results and dividend hike underpin a positive outlook, but short-term risks remain due to macroeconomic uncertainty and recent sector-wide weakness. The strategic investment in Circle Internet Group highlights the firm’s commitment to innovation in digital finance. Analyst sentiment remains moderately bullish, with institutional investors maintaining significant positions.

🧭 Scenario Outlook for the Upcoming Week

Risk Management Tips

• Risk no more than 1% of capital per trade.

• Use ATR-based stops to adjust for volatility.

• Monitor macroeconomic headlines and Fed policy updates closely.

📅 Weekly Recap & What to Watch

• Monitor for a breakout above 305.38, which could trigger a move toward 313.08 and 318.00.

• Watch for any reversal signals near support at 302.12 or 290.51.

• Stay alert to macroeconomic news, especially the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and any sector-specific developments.

Summary Table

📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a professional before making trading decisions.