Ethereum (ETHUSD) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 2 November 2025
Ideas
Nov 10, 2025
3 Min Read
Comprehensive weekly analysis of Ethereum (ETHUSD) for Week 2 November 2025: chart, technicals, latest news, price levels, and actionable scenarios. Explore bearish momentum, institutional trends, and macroeconomic impacts.
Ethereum (ETHUSD) enters Week 2 of November 2025 under notable bearish momentum, with the price trading below key moving averages and forming a series of lower highs and lows. This comprehensive analysis covers the latest price chart, technicals, macroeconomic news, and actionable scenarios for traders and investors. 🔎📉
Latest News & Market Context (Past 7 Days)
Price Volatility & Technicals: ETHUSD traded mostly between $3,500 and $3,900, with a brief dip to $3,130 before rebounding to $3,517. Technical signals remain bearish, with a descending triangle pattern and weak momentum. [Copygram] [TradingNews]
Macroeconomic & Regulatory Factors: The U.S. Federal Reserve’s moderate rate cuts have reduced some pressure, but cautious guidance and tightening liquidity continue to weigh on risk assets, including Ethereum. Regulatory trends favor proof-of-stake chains, and institutional adoption is rising. [WEEX]
Institutional Activity: Institutional ownership of ETH has hit a record 10.3% of circulating supply, with whales accumulating during dips. ETF outflows have been offset by long-term accumulation, suggesting consolidation rather than capitulation. [TradingNews]
Technical Analysis
Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
Trend | Downtrend (price below 9- and 10-period EMAs, lower highs/lows) |
Pattern | Descending triangle, with swing low near $3,551.30 |
Support Levels | $3,551.30 (major), $3,200.00 (minor) |
Resistance Levels | $3,899.09 (major), $3,650.00 (minor) |
Momentum | RSI at 45.21 (bearish zone), MACD negative |
Volume | Decreasing on rallies, indicating weak buying interest |
Chart Pattern: The descending triangle, characterized by lower highs and a flat support base, typically signals bearish continuation unless a breakout occurs.
MACD & RSI: Both indicators confirm bearish momentum, with the MACD below its signal line and RSI under 50.
Volume: Weak volume on upward moves suggests lack of conviction among buyers, increasing the risk of further downside.
Fundamental & News Impact
Macro Headwinds: Fed’s cautious stance and tightening liquidity continue to pressure risk assets, including ETH.
Institutional Trends: Despite ETF outflows, institutional accumulation is at record highs, indicating long-term confidence in Ethereum’s fundamentals.
Regulatory Environment: Favorable for proof-of-stake blockchains, with ESG considerations and growing ETF/retirement account inclusion supporting demand.
Upcoming Catalysts: Key macroeconomic data (CPI, Fed communication) and network upgrades (e.g., Fusaka) could trigger volatility and directional moves.
Actionable Scenarios for the Upcoming Week
Scenario | Key Price Levels | Strategy | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
Bullish 🟢 | Break and hold above $3,899.09 | Buy on breakout above $3,900, target $4,100–$4,400; stop-loss $3,750 | Low–Moderate (requires strong catalyst) |
Bearish 🔴 | Breakdown below $3,551.30 | Sell on breakdown below $3,550, target $3,200; stop-loss $3,650 | Moderate–High (downtrend and weak momentum) |
Neutral 🟠 | Range $3,550–$3,900 | Wait for breakout or breakdown; consider short-term range trading | Moderate (sideways consolidation likely if no major news) |
Risk Management
Risk no more than 1% of capital per trade.
Use ATR-based stops to account for volatility.
Monitor macroeconomic releases and network news closely.
Summary & Outlook
Ethereum faces a pivotal week as bearish momentum dominates the technical picture, but institutional accumulation and favorable regulatory trends provide a supportive backdrop. The key to the next move lies in the reaction to macroeconomic data and the ability to defend or reclaim major support/resistance levels. Traders should remain nimble, use disciplined risk management, and watch for breakouts or breakdowns from the current range. 📊🔔
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk.

Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
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