Tesla (TSLA) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 52, December 2025

Ideas

Dec 22, 2025

3 Min Read

In-depth weekly analysis of Tesla (TSLA) for Week 52, December 2025: chart review, news, technical and fundamental insights, and actionable trading scenarios. Stay updated on TSLA's bullish trend, support/resistance, and catalysts.

Welcome to our comprehensive weekly analysis for Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) – Week 52, December 2025! 🚗⚡ This report covers the latest technical and fundamental developments, key trading levels, and actionable scenarios for the week ahead. Whether you’re a trader or long-term investor, this deep dive will help you navigate the evolving TSLA landscape.

📈 TSLA Chart Overview & Technical Structure

  • Trend: Uptrend – TSLA is trading above both its 10-day and 50-day EMAs, confirming bullish momentum.

  • Momentum: RSI at 61.84 (bullish), MACD trending positive, supporting further upside potential.

  • Pattern: Price is consolidating near major resistance after reaching $490.49, suggesting a possible breakout or pullback scenario.

  • Volume: Slightly declining on recent moves; a volume surge is needed to validate any breakout.

Key Level

Type

Significance

$466.86

Support

Major (near 10-day EMA)

$450.29

Support

Minor

$481.20

Resistance

Minor

$490.49

Resistance

Major (recent high)

📰 Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)

  • December 15, 2025: TSLA surged 3.5–4.3%, closing near $479, its highest since December 2024, driven by optimism in autonomy, AI, and international sales. (Morningstar, Nasdaq)

  • AI & Robotaxi Buzz: Elon Musk highlighted driverless robotaxi tests in Austin, fueling autonomy enthusiasm. Growth in energy storage and hints at a new affordable EV also supported sentiment. (StocksToTrade)

  • International Sales: November China sales rebounded to 73,145 units, and Norway set a Model Y record, offsetting U.S. sales softness. (Nasdaq)

🔎 Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance & Indicators

  • Support Levels: $466.86 (major, near 10-day EMA), $450.29 (minor). A break below $450.29 could shift momentum bearish, targeting $441.80.

  • Resistance Levels: $481.20 (minor), $490.49 (major). Sustained move above $490.49 could trigger a new leg higher.

  • MACD: Positive and rising, confirming bullish momentum.

  • Volume: Slightly declining; watch for a volume spike to confirm any breakout above resistance.

  • Pattern: Consolidation near highs, suggesting a potential breakout or retracement.

📊 Technical Summary Table

Indicator

Current Reading

Implication

RSI

61.84

Bullish, but not overbought

MACD

Positive

Momentum supports uptrend

Price vs 10/50 EMA

Above

Uptrend confirmed

Volume

Declining

Needs confirmation for breakout

💡 Fundamental & News Impact

  • AI, Autonomy, and Robotaxi: Investor excitement is high around Tesla’s AI and robotaxi roadmap, with Musk’s recent announcements fueling bullish sentiment.

  • International Sales: China and Norway sales are rebounding, counterbalancing U.S. softness and supporting the bull case.

  • Analyst Targets: Wedbush maintains a $600 target, citing AI/robotics potential; Stifel Nicolaus raises target to $508 on Full Self-Driving and next-gen vehicles.

  • Risks: European sentiment remains fragile, and competition from Chinese EVs could pressure margins.

🚦 Scenarios & Actionable Outlook for Week 52 (Dec 22–28, 2025)

Scenario

Trigger/Signal

Action

Price Levels

Bullish 🟢

Breakout above $490.49 on strong volume

Buy breakout, target $500+, stop-loss below $481.20

Entry: $491+, Target: $500–$510, SL: $481

Bearish 🔴

Close below $466.86 or $450.29

Short/sell, target $441.80, stop-loss above $466.86

Entry: $466 or $450, Target: $441.80, SL: $467

Neutral 🟡

Sideways between $466.86 and $490.49

Wait for breakout or breakdown; range-trade with tight stops

Buy near $467, sell near $490, SL: $462/$495

📅 Trade Ideas for the Week

  • Aggressive: Buy on breakout above $481.20, stop-loss $466.00, target $490.00–$500.00.

  • Conservative: Buy on pullback to $466.86, stop-loss $450.00, target $490.00.

  • Invalidation: Daily close below $450.29 shifts focus to $441.80 and neutralizes bullish outlook.

⚠️ Risk Management

  • Risk no more than 1% of capital per trade.

  • Use ATR (Average True Range) to set stop-loss distances.

  • Monitor volume for confirmation of breakouts or breakdowns.

🔚 Summary & Takeaways

TSLA enters Week 52 with strong bullish momentum, driven by AI/autonomy optimism and robust international sales. The technical setup favors a breakout, but traders should watch volume and key support levels for confirmation. Stay nimble and manage risk as volatility could increase into year-end.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.

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Julian Vance

Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.

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COPYGRAM IS A TOOL DESIGNED FOR ORDER ROUTING, ENABLING USERS TO LINK ALERTS FROM THEIR PREFERRED TRADING PLATFORM TO THEIR CHOSEN BROKERAGE OR EXCHANGE ACCOUNT. COPYGRAM ITSELF DOES NOT PROVIDE ALERTS, SIGNALS, RESEARCH, ANALYSIS, OR ANY TRADING ADVICE. THE PURPOSE OF THE COPYGRAM PLATFORM IS TO SUPPORT TRADERS AND INVESTORS IN CARRYING OUT THEIR TRADING CHOICES BASED ON THEIR OWN ALERTS OR STRATEGIES. WE DO NOT SUGGEST ANY SPECIFIC SECURITIES FOR BUYING OR SELLING AND DO NOT GIVE TRADING OR INVESTING ADVICE. OUR PLATFORM, INCLUDING ITS FEATURES, CAPABILITIES, AND TOOLS, IS OFFERED ‘AS IS’ WITHOUT WARRANTY. TRADING ANY ASSET CARRIES SIGNIFICANT RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS. IT IS ADVISABLE TO TRADE OR INVEST ONLY WITH FUNDS YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE.

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COPYGRAM IS A TOOL DESIGNED FOR ORDER ROUTING, ENABLING USERS TO LINK ALERTS FROM THEIR PREFERRED TRADING PLATFORM TO THEIR CHOSEN BROKERAGE OR EXCHANGE ACCOUNT. COPYGRAM ITSELF DOES NOT PROVIDE ALERTS, SIGNALS, RESEARCH, ANALYSIS, OR ANY TRADING ADVICE. THE PURPOSE OF THE COPYGRAM PLATFORM IS TO SUPPORT TRADERS AND INVESTORS IN CARRYING OUT THEIR TRADING CHOICES BASED ON THEIR OWN ALERTS OR STRATEGIES. WE DO NOT SUGGEST ANY SPECIFIC SECURITIES FOR BUYING OR SELLING AND DO NOT GIVE TRADING OR INVESTING ADVICE. OUR PLATFORM, INCLUDING ITS FEATURES, CAPABILITIES, AND TOOLS, IS OFFERED ‘AS IS’ WITHOUT WARRANTY. TRADING ANY ASSET CARRIES SIGNIFICANT RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS. IT IS ADVISABLE TO TRADE OR INVEST ONLY WITH FUNDS YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE.