Tesla (TSLA) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 45, November 2025
Ideas
Nov 3, 2025
3 Min Read
Comprehensive weekly analysis of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) for Week 45, November 2025. Includes technical chart review, latest news, earnings, and actionable trading scenarios.
Welcome to our in-depth weekly analysis of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) for Week 45, November 2025! This post covers the latest technical and fundamental insights, recent news, and actionable trading scenarios for the week ahead. 🚗📈
📊 Tesla (TSLA) Price Chart Overview
For a full-sized chart with volume and MACD, see the featured image above.
Trend: Uptrend intact – price above 10-day and 20-day EMAs, ascending trendline holding.
Momentum: RSI at 57.31 (bullish), MACD above signal line (bullish momentum).
Pattern: Rising wedge, suggesting a possible breakout continuation.
Volume: Decreasing on recent pullbacks, indicating a lack of selling pressure.
📰 Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)
Aspect  | Details  | 
|---|---|
Stock Price Movement  | Recent high: $445.41 (since Dec 2024), +26.9% in 4 weeks  | 
Q3 2025 Earnings  | Revenue beat $28.1B (+7.17%), EPS miss $0.50 (-7.41%) [source]  | 
EPS Consensus 2025  | Decreased from 2.56 to 2.4 over past month; stable last week [source]  | 
Technical Levels  | Resistance ~ $485-$490; support ~ $375-$385 [source]  | 
Macroeconomic Events  | Treasury rally pause, slower PMI contraction in Oct  | 
🔎 Technical Analysis
Support Levels: $446.00 (major, recent consolidation), $400.00 (minor)
Resistance Levels: $465.00 (major, previous swing high), $480.00 (minor)
Trend & Momentum: Price above key moving averages, uptrend confirmed. RSI at 57.31 supports bullish momentum. MACD remains above its signal line, indicating continued upward pressure.
Pattern: The rising wedge pattern typically signals a bullish continuation, but traders should watch for any reversal signals near resistance.
Volume: Pullbacks have occurred on declining volume, suggesting sellers are not aggressive and bulls remain in control.
📈 Chart Structure & Trade Ideas
Strategy  | Entry  | Stop Loss  | Target  | Rationale  | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggressive  | Buy at $456.00  | $440.00  | $470.00  | Momentum continuation above breakout  | 
Conservative  | Buy on pullback to $446.00  | $430.00  | $465.00  | Entry at support zone  | 
Invalidation: A close below $440.00 would shift the bias to neutral/negative.
Risk Management: Risk 1% of capital per trade; use ATR(14) for stop placements.
Timeframe Alignment: Daily and intraday charts confirm the bullish bias after a consolidation breakout.
💡 Fundamental & News Impact
Q3 2025 Earnings: Revenue beat expectations, but EPS missed slightly. Automotive margins improved to 15.4%, which is a positive sign for profitability. [Read more]
EPS Consensus: Analyst expectations for 2025 EPS have slightly decreased, reflecting cautious optimism.
Macroeconomic Context: Treasury yields paused their rally, and PMI data showed slower contraction, which could support risk assets like TSLA.
No Major Corporate Events: No significant new press releases or product launches in the past week.
🚦 Possible Scenarios for the Upcoming Week
Scenario  | Probability  | Key Levels  | Actionable Plan  | 
|---|---|---|---|
Bullish  | 60%  | Above $456.00; targets $470.00, $480.00  | Look for momentum continuation trades above $456.00; trail stops as price approaches resistance  | 
Bearish  | 25%  | Below $440.00; targets $425.00, $400.00  | Watch for breakdown below $440.00; consider short setups or protective puts  | 
Neutral  | 15%  | $440.00–$465.00 range  | Expect consolidation; focus on mean-reversion trades or wait for breakout confirmation  | 
📅 Key Takeaways for Week 45, November 2025
TSLA remains in a strong uptrend, with bullish technicals and improving margins.
Short-term risk is a reversal below $440.00; otherwise, momentum favors the bulls.
Traders should monitor volume and price action near resistance for early signs of exhaustion or continuation.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.

Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
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