Tesla (TSLA) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 45, November 2025

Ideas

Nov 3, 2025

3 Min Read

Comprehensive weekly analysis of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) for Week 45, November 2025. Includes technical chart review, latest news, earnings, and actionable trading scenarios.

Welcome to our in-depth weekly analysis of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) for Week 45, November 2025! This post covers the latest technical and fundamental insights, recent news, and actionable trading scenarios for the week ahead. 🚗📈

📊 Tesla (TSLA) Price Chart Overview

For a full-sized chart with volume and MACD, see the featured image above.

  • Trend: Uptrend intact – price above 10-day and 20-day EMAs, ascending trendline holding.

  • Momentum: RSI at 57.31 (bullish), MACD above signal line (bullish momentum).

  • Pattern: Rising wedge, suggesting a possible breakout continuation.

  • Volume: Decreasing on recent pullbacks, indicating a lack of selling pressure.

📰 Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)

Aspect

Details

Stock Price Movement

Recent high: $445.41 (since Dec 2024), +26.9% in 4 weeks

Q3 2025 Earnings

Revenue beat $28.1B (+7.17%), EPS miss $0.50 (-7.41%) [source]

EPS Consensus 2025

Decreased from 2.56 to 2.4 over past month; stable last week [source]

Technical Levels

Resistance ~ $485-$490; support ~ $375-$385 [source]

Macroeconomic Events

Treasury rally pause, slower PMI contraction in Oct

🔎 Technical Analysis

  • Support Levels: $446.00 (major, recent consolidation), $400.00 (minor)

  • Resistance Levels: $465.00 (major, previous swing high), $480.00 (minor)

  • Trend & Momentum: Price above key moving averages, uptrend confirmed. RSI at 57.31 supports bullish momentum. MACD remains above its signal line, indicating continued upward pressure.

  • Pattern: The rising wedge pattern typically signals a bullish continuation, but traders should watch for any reversal signals near resistance.

  • Volume: Pullbacks have occurred on declining volume, suggesting sellers are not aggressive and bulls remain in control.

📈 Chart Structure & Trade Ideas

Strategy

Entry

Stop Loss

Target

Rationale

Aggressive

Buy at $456.00

$440.00

$470.00

Momentum continuation above breakout

Conservative

Buy on pullback to $446.00

$430.00

$465.00

Entry at support zone

  • Invalidation: A close below $440.00 would shift the bias to neutral/negative.

  • Risk Management: Risk 1% of capital per trade; use ATR(14) for stop placements.

  • Timeframe Alignment: Daily and intraday charts confirm the bullish bias after a consolidation breakout.

💡 Fundamental & News Impact

  • Q3 2025 Earnings: Revenue beat expectations, but EPS missed slightly. Automotive margins improved to 15.4%, which is a positive sign for profitability. [Read more]

  • EPS Consensus: Analyst expectations for 2025 EPS have slightly decreased, reflecting cautious optimism.

  • Macroeconomic Context: Treasury yields paused their rally, and PMI data showed slower contraction, which could support risk assets like TSLA.

  • No Major Corporate Events: No significant new press releases or product launches in the past week.

🚦 Possible Scenarios for the Upcoming Week

Scenario

Probability

Key Levels

Actionable Plan

Bullish

60%

Above $456.00; targets $470.00, $480.00

Look for momentum continuation trades above $456.00; trail stops as price approaches resistance

Bearish

25%

Below $440.00; targets $425.00, $400.00

Watch for breakdown below $440.00; consider short setups or protective puts

Neutral

15%

$440.00–$465.00 range

Expect consolidation; focus on mean-reversion trades or wait for breakout confirmation

📅 Key Takeaways for Week 45, November 2025

  • TSLA remains in a strong uptrend, with bullish technicals and improving margins.

  • Short-term risk is a reversal below $440.00; otherwise, momentum favors the bulls.

  • Traders should monitor volume and price action near resistance for early signs of exhaustion or continuation.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.

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Julian Vance

Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.

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COPYGRAM IS A TOOL DESIGNED FOR ORDER ROUTING, ENABLING USERS TO LINK ALERTS FROM THEIR PREFERRED TRADING PLATFORM TO THEIR CHOSEN BROKERAGE OR EXCHANGE ACCOUNT. COPYGRAM ITSELF DOES NOT PROVIDE ALERTS, SIGNALS, RESEARCH, ANALYSIS, OR ANY TRADING ADVICE. THE PURPOSE OF THE COPYGRAM PLATFORM IS TO SUPPORT TRADERS AND INVESTORS IN CARRYING OUT THEIR TRADING CHOICES BASED ON THEIR OWN ALERTS OR STRATEGIES. WE DO NOT SUGGEST ANY SPECIFIC SECURITIES FOR BUYING OR SELLING AND DO NOT GIVE TRADING OR INVESTING ADVICE. OUR PLATFORM, INCLUDING ITS FEATURES, CAPABILITIES, AND TOOLS, IS OFFERED ‘AS IS’ WITHOUT WARRANTY. TRADING ANY ASSET CARRIES SIGNIFICANT RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS. IT IS ADVISABLE TO TRADE OR INVEST ONLY WITH FUNDS YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE.

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COPYGRAM IS A TOOL DESIGNED FOR ORDER ROUTING, ENABLING USERS TO LINK ALERTS FROM THEIR PREFERRED TRADING PLATFORM TO THEIR CHOSEN BROKERAGE OR EXCHANGE ACCOUNT. COPYGRAM ITSELF DOES NOT PROVIDE ALERTS, SIGNALS, RESEARCH, ANALYSIS, OR ANY TRADING ADVICE. THE PURPOSE OF THE COPYGRAM PLATFORM IS TO SUPPORT TRADERS AND INVESTORS IN CARRYING OUT THEIR TRADING CHOICES BASED ON THEIR OWN ALERTS OR STRATEGIES. WE DO NOT SUGGEST ANY SPECIFIC SECURITIES FOR BUYING OR SELLING AND DO NOT GIVE TRADING OR INVESTING ADVICE. OUR PLATFORM, INCLUDING ITS FEATURES, CAPABILITIES, AND TOOLS, IS OFFERED ‘AS IS’ WITHOUT WARRANTY. TRADING ANY ASSET CARRIES SIGNIFICANT RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS. IT IS ADVISABLE TO TRADE OR INVEST ONLY WITH FUNDS YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE.