Tesla (TSLA) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 45, November 2025
Ideas
Nov 3, 2025
3 Min Read
Comprehensive weekly analysis of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) for Week 45, November 2025. Includes technical chart review, latest news, earnings, and actionable trading scenarios.
Welcome to our in-depth weekly analysis of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) for Week 45, November 2025! This post covers the latest technical and fundamental insights, recent news, and actionable trading scenarios for the week ahead. 🚗📈
📊 Tesla (TSLA) Price Chart Overview
For a full-sized chart with volume and MACD, see the featured image above.
Trend: Uptrend intact – price above 10-day and 20-day EMAs, ascending trendline holding.
Momentum: RSI at 57.31 (bullish), MACD above signal line (bullish momentum).
Pattern: Rising wedge, suggesting a possible breakout continuation.
Volume: Decreasing on recent pullbacks, indicating a lack of selling pressure.
📰 Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)
Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
Stock Price Movement | Recent high: $445.41 (since Dec 2024), +26.9% in 4 weeks |
Q3 2025 Earnings | Revenue beat $28.1B (+7.17%), EPS miss $0.50 (-7.41%) [source] |
EPS Consensus 2025 | Decreased from 2.56 to 2.4 over past month; stable last week [source] |
Technical Levels | Resistance ~ $485-$490; support ~ $375-$385 [source] |
Macroeconomic Events | Treasury rally pause, slower PMI contraction in Oct |
🔎 Technical Analysis
Support Levels: $446.00 (major, recent consolidation), $400.00 (minor)
Resistance Levels: $465.00 (major, previous swing high), $480.00 (minor)
Trend & Momentum: Price above key moving averages, uptrend confirmed. RSI at 57.31 supports bullish momentum. MACD remains above its signal line, indicating continued upward pressure.
Pattern: The rising wedge pattern typically signals a bullish continuation, but traders should watch for any reversal signals near resistance.
Volume: Pullbacks have occurred on declining volume, suggesting sellers are not aggressive and bulls remain in control.
📈 Chart Structure & Trade Ideas
Strategy | Entry | Stop Loss | Target | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggressive | Buy at $456.00 | $440.00 | $470.00 | Momentum continuation above breakout |
Conservative | Buy on pullback to $446.00 | $430.00 | $465.00 | Entry at support zone |
Invalidation: A close below $440.00 would shift the bias to neutral/negative.
Risk Management: Risk 1% of capital per trade; use ATR(14) for stop placements.
Timeframe Alignment: Daily and intraday charts confirm the bullish bias after a consolidation breakout.
💡 Fundamental & News Impact
Q3 2025 Earnings: Revenue beat expectations, but EPS missed slightly. Automotive margins improved to 15.4%, which is a positive sign for profitability. [Read more]
EPS Consensus: Analyst expectations for 2025 EPS have slightly decreased, reflecting cautious optimism.
Macroeconomic Context: Treasury yields paused their rally, and PMI data showed slower contraction, which could support risk assets like TSLA.
No Major Corporate Events: No significant new press releases or product launches in the past week.
🚦 Possible Scenarios for the Upcoming Week
Scenario | Probability | Key Levels | Actionable Plan |
|---|---|---|---|
Bullish | 60% | Above $456.00; targets $470.00, $480.00 | Look for momentum continuation trades above $456.00; trail stops as price approaches resistance |
Bearish | 25% | Below $440.00; targets $425.00, $400.00 | Watch for breakdown below $440.00; consider short setups or protective puts |
Neutral | 15% | $440.00–$465.00 range | Expect consolidation; focus on mean-reversion trades or wait for breakout confirmation |
📅 Key Takeaways for Week 45, November 2025
TSLA remains in a strong uptrend, with bullish technicals and improving margins.
Short-term risk is a reversal below $440.00; otherwise, momentum favors the bulls.
Traders should monitor volume and price action near resistance for early signs of exhaustion or continuation.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.

Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
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