Welcome to our in-depth weekly analysis of Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) for Week 41, October 2025! 🚗⚡ This comprehensive review covers the latest price action, technical chart signals, news catalysts, and actionable scenarios for traders and investors. Let’s break down what’s driving TSLA this week and what to watch for in the days ahead.

📰 Latest News & Key Catalysts

• Record Q3 Deliveries: Tesla reported a record 497,099 vehicle deliveries in Q3 2025, reinforcing its leadership in the EV market despite recent stock volatility. [Morningstar]

• Affordable Model Speculation: Market chatter is intensifying around a potential new affordable Tesla model, with analysts suggesting it could be a game-changer for demand and valuation. [YouTube]

• Market Sentiment & Macro Trends: Despite strong operational performance, TSLA’s price action remains sensitive to broader economic conditions, including inflation, interest rates, and rising competition in the EV space. [TradingView]

📈 Technical Analysis

🔍 Chart Structure & Interpretation

• Price Action: TSLA is showing strong price action above key EMAs, with a series of higher lows and a possible flag pattern. This suggests buyers are in control, but a breakout above resistance is needed for further upside.

• Volume: The volume profile supports the bullish case, as increased buying volume accompanies rallies, while pullbacks are met with lighter selling.

• MACD: While the MACD is not visible, the overall trend and RSI suggest bullish momentum is intact.

🔬 Fundamental & News Impact

• Q3 Deliveries: The record-breaking delivery numbers underscore Tesla’s operational strength and ability to meet demand, which is a positive for long-term investors.

• Product Pipeline: Speculation about a new affordable model is fueling optimism and could drive significant upside if confirmed.

• Macro Risks: Inflation, interest rates, and increased EV competition remain risks that could introduce volatility in the near term.

• Leadership: Elon Musk’s continued vision for innovation and automation keeps investor sentiment buoyant, though execution risks remain.

📊 Actionable Scenarios for the Week

• Bullish Case: A sustained move above 430.00, especially with volume, could see TSLA test 445.00 and possibly 446.77. Watch for confirmation with a daily close above resistance.

• Bearish Case: A break and close below 416.80 would invalidate the bullish structure and could trigger a move toward 400.00 or lower.

• Neutral Case: If TSLA remains between 416.80 and 437.99, expect range-bound trading as the market digests recent news and awaits further catalysts.

📅 Weekly Outlook Table

🛡️ Risk Management & Strategy

• Risk no more than 1% of capital per trade.

• Use ATR (Average True Range) to dynamically set stop-losses.

• Monitor volume and price action for confirmation before entering trades.

• Stay alert to macroeconomic headlines and sector news.

🔑 Key Takeaways

• TSLA is in a bullish technical setup, supported by record deliveries and positive sentiment around new products.

• Major support at 416.80 and resistance at 446.77 define the week’s trading range.

• News flow and macro trends remain critical for short-term direction.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a professional before making investment decisions.