NVIDIA (NVDA) Weekly Analysis & Trading Outlook – Week 47, November 2025
Ideas
Nov 18, 2025
3 Min Read
Comprehensive weekly analysis of NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) for Week 47, November 2025. Includes technical chart, key support/resistance, news impact, earnings preview, and actionable trading scenarios.
Welcome to our in-depth weekly analysis of NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) for Week 47, November 2025. This post provides a comprehensive review of NVDA’s technical setup, key news, earnings anticipation, and actionable trading scenarios for the upcoming week. Whether you’re a trader, investor, or market watcher, this analysis will equip you with the latest insights and probabilities for NVDA’s price action. 📊💡
Quick Recap: Chart & Technical Landscape
Current Trend: Neutral, with price consolidating around key moving averages.
RSI: 49.42 (neutral zone).
Support: 180.98 (major), 170.00 (minor).
Resistance: 197.41 (major), 194.00 (minor).
Pattern: Range-bound between 180.98 and 197.41.
Volume: Increasing on up-moves, indicating buying interest.
MACD: Watch for crossover signals; currently less clear.
Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)
Date | Headline | Summary | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
2025-11-16 | Nvidia’s Upcoming Earnings Report Draws Market Attention | Nvidia is set to report Q3 FY26 earnings on Nov. 19. The market is highly focused on guidance and AI chip demand. | |
2025-11-14 | Analyst Outlook: Strong Buy, Price Target $222.44 | 41 analysts rate NVDA a "Strong Buy" with a 12-month target of $222.44. Morgan Stanley raised its target to $220. | |
2025-11-07 | Nvidia Loses $450 Billion in Value in 3 Days | NVDA experienced its largest three-day drop since Jan 2025, highlighting volatility ahead of earnings. |
Technical Analysis
Support & Resistance:
Major Support: $180.98 (recent swing low). If breached, next support is $170.00.
Major Resistance: $197.41 (recent swing high). Minor resistance at $194.00.
Trend & Momentum:
NVDA is consolidating around its 10- and 20-period moving averages. No clear directional trend.
RSI at 49.42 suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
MACD is neutral; monitor for a crossover to signal momentum shift.
Volume is increasing on up-moves, indicating underlying buying interest.
Pattern: The chart shows a range-bound structure between $180.98 and $197.41. A breakout from this range could set the next directional move.
Technical Table
Indicator | Current Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
RSI | 49.42 | Neutral |
MACD | Flat/Neutral | Awaiting crossover |
Volume | Increasing on up-moves | Buyers active |
10/20 MA | Price near averages | Sideways trend |
Fundamental & News Impact
Upcoming Earnings (Nov 19): The most significant near-term catalyst. Market expects strong AI chip demand and robust guidance. Any disappointment or cautious outlook could trigger volatility.
Analyst Sentiment: Remains highly bullish, with a consensus "Strong Buy" and price targets above current levels. Morgan Stanley and others have recently raised their targets.
Recent Volatility: NVDA lost $450 billion in market cap in three days, underscoring sensitivity to news and earnings expectations.
Macro Factors: Broader tech sentiment will be influenced by Federal Reserve commentary and macroeconomic data this week.
Scenario Analysis & Trading Plan for Week 47 (Nov 17–23, 2025)
Scenario | Trigger/Signal | Actionable Levels | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
Bullish 📈 | Breakout above $197.41, strong earnings/guidance | Buy above $198.00, Target $205.00, Stop $194.00 | Moderate (if earnings surprise to upside) |
Bearish 📉 | Breakdown below $180.98, weak earnings/guidance | Sell below $180.00, Target $170.00, Stop $183.00 | Low to Moderate (if earnings disappoint) |
Neutral/Range 🔄 | Price remains between $180.98 and $197.41, muted earnings reaction | Consider range trading: Buy near $181, Sell near $197 | High (if no major surprises) |
Risk Management
Risk only 0.5–1% of capital per trade.
Use ATR or volatility-based stops, especially around earnings.
Be prepared for increased volatility post-earnings.
Key Takeaways for NVDA This Week
The upcoming earnings report on November 19 is the dominant catalyst and will likely set the tone for NVDA’s next move.
Technical structure is neutral/range-bound, but volume and analyst sentiment tilt the risk/reward to the upside if earnings deliver.
Support at $180.98 is critical; a break below could trigger a deeper correction. Resistance at $197.41 is the key breakout level.
Traders should remain nimble, manage risk tightly, and be ready for large moves post-earnings.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a professional before making trading decisions.

Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
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