NVIDIA (NVDA) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 2 February 2026
Ideas
Feb 2, 2026
3 Min Read
In-depth weekly analysis for NVIDIA (NVDA) covering technicals, news, and actionable scenarios for Week 2 of February 2026. Includes chart, support/resistance, MACD, volume, and news impact.
Welcome to our comprehensive weekly analysis for NVIDIA (NVDA) as we enter Week 2 of February 2026. This post provides a deep dive into NVDA’s technical setup, the latest news and catalysts, and actionable trading scenarios for the week ahead. Whether you’re an active trader or a long-term investor, this analysis will help you navigate the current landscape with clarity and discipline. 📊
NVDA Price Chart & Technical Overview
(See chart above for full-width technical illustration with volume and MACD)
Current Trend: Sideways/Neutral — Price is consolidating, oscillating around the 20-day EMA, with no clear directional bias.
Momentum: RSI at 57.33 (neutral, neither overbought nor oversold).
Volume: Recent increases on price rises, indicating renewed interest at higher price levels.
Pattern: Consolidation range between recent highs near $194.49 and lows around $187.
Key Level | Price | Significance |
Major Support | $184.33 | Primary floor for bulls |
Minor Support | $181.11 | Bearish trigger if broken |
Major Resistance | $191.13 | Ceiling for breakout attempts |
Minor Resistance | $195.00 | Potential target on breakout |
Latest News & Catalysts (Jan 26 – Feb 2, 2026)
Upcoming Earnings: NVIDIA is set to report earnings on February 25, 2026. This is a major catalyst that could drive volatility in the coming weeks. [YouTube]
China Approves H200 Chip Sales: China reversed a previous rejection, now allowing DeepSeek to purchase NVIDIA H200 chips. This could boost sales and sentiment in the region. [Robinhood]
Analyst & Institutional Sentiment: 95% of analysts rate NVDA a Buy, with a consensus price target up 60% YoY. Institutional accumulation remains strong, with 65% of shares held by large investors. [MarketBeat]
Technical Analysis
Support & Resistance: NVDA is consolidating between $184.33 (major support) and $191.13 (major resistance). A decisive move outside this range could set the tone for the week.
Pattern: The consolidation range suggests indecision, with neither bulls nor bears in clear control. Watch for a breakout above $192.00 or a breakdown below $181.11.
MACD: The MACD is flat, consistent with the sideways price action. A bullish or bearish cross could provide early signals for a directional move.
Volume: Rising volume on up days hints at accumulation, but confirmation is needed with a breakout.
Technical Table
Indicator | Current Value | Interpretation |
RSI | 57.33 | Neutral |
MACD | Flat | No clear signal |
20-day EMA | Near price | Sideways trend |
Volume | Increasing | Potential accumulation |
Fundamental & News Impact
Product Roadmap: The Vera Rubin chip line is entering full production, with launches planned through 2028. This underpins long-term growth expectations.
AI & Data Center Demand: CEO Jensen Huang projects $3–4 trillion in global AI factory buildout by 2030, positioning NVIDIA as a key beneficiary.
Macro Risks: Ongoing talks with OpenAI have stalled, and any negative developments could weigh on sentiment. However, recent regulatory approvals in China are a positive offset.
Actionable Scenarios for Week 2 February 2026
Scenario | Trigger | Action | Target | Stop Loss |
Bullish | Break above $192.00 | Buy | $195.00 | $188.00 |
Bearish | Close below $181.11 | Sell/Short | $177.00 | $184.50 |
Neutral | Range-bound between $184.33 and $191.13 | Wait/Observe | N/A | N/A |
Aggressive traders: Consider buying a breakout above $192.00 with a stop at $188.00 and a target of $195.00.
Conservative traders: Wait for a retest of support at $184.33; buy in the $184.50–$185.50 range with a stop at $181.00 and a target of $191.00.
Risk management: Limit risk to 1% of capital per trade and use recent ATR for stop sizing.
Summary Table
Aspect | Current Status |
Trend | Sideways/Neutral |
Momentum | Neutral |
Volume | Increasing on up days |
News Impact | Mixed, with positive China developments and upcoming earnings |
Key Risk | Breakdown below $181.11 |
Conclusion
NVIDIA (NVDA) is consolidating ahead of a major earnings event, with technicals suggesting a neutral stance but with the potential for a breakout. News flow is mixed but leans positive, especially with China’s regulatory reversal and strong institutional support. Traders should watch for a decisive move outside the $184–$191 range for directional clues. 🧑💻💡
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
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