NVIDIA (NVDA) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 2 February 2026

Ideas

Feb 2, 2026

3 Min Read

In-depth weekly analysis for NVIDIA (NVDA) covering technicals, news, and actionable scenarios for Week 2 of February 2026. Includes chart, support/resistance, MACD, volume, and news impact.

Welcome to our comprehensive weekly analysis for NVIDIA (NVDA) as we enter Week 2 of February 2026. This post provides a deep dive into NVDA’s technical setup, the latest news and catalysts, and actionable trading scenarios for the week ahead. Whether you’re an active trader or a long-term investor, this analysis will help you navigate the current landscape with clarity and discipline. 📊

NVDA Price Chart & Technical Overview

(See chart above for full-width technical illustration with volume and MACD)

  • Current Trend: Sideways/Neutral — Price is consolidating, oscillating around the 20-day EMA, with no clear directional bias.

  • Momentum: RSI at 57.33 (neutral, neither overbought nor oversold).

  • Volume: Recent increases on price rises, indicating renewed interest at higher price levels.

  • Pattern: Consolidation range between recent highs near $194.49 and lows around $187.

Key Level

Price

Significance

Major Support

$184.33

Primary floor for bulls

Minor Support

$181.11

Bearish trigger if broken

Major Resistance

$191.13

Ceiling for breakout attempts

Minor Resistance

$195.00

Potential target on breakout

Latest News & Catalysts (Jan 26 – Feb 2, 2026)

  • Upcoming Earnings: NVIDIA is set to report earnings on February 25, 2026. This is a major catalyst that could drive volatility in the coming weeks. [YouTube]

  • China Approves H200 Chip Sales: China reversed a previous rejection, now allowing DeepSeek to purchase NVIDIA H200 chips. This could boost sales and sentiment in the region. [Robinhood]

  • Analyst & Institutional Sentiment: 95% of analysts rate NVDA a Buy, with a consensus price target up 60% YoY. Institutional accumulation remains strong, with 65% of shares held by large investors. [MarketBeat]

Technical Analysis

  • Support & Resistance: NVDA is consolidating between $184.33 (major support) and $191.13 (major resistance). A decisive move outside this range could set the tone for the week.

  • Pattern: The consolidation range suggests indecision, with neither bulls nor bears in clear control. Watch for a breakout above $192.00 or a breakdown below $181.11.

  • MACD: The MACD is flat, consistent with the sideways price action. A bullish or bearish cross could provide early signals for a directional move.

  • Volume: Rising volume on up days hints at accumulation, but confirmation is needed with a breakout.

Technical Table

Indicator

Current Value

Interpretation

RSI

57.33

Neutral

MACD

Flat

No clear signal

20-day EMA

Near price

Sideways trend

Volume

Increasing

Potential accumulation

Fundamental & News Impact

  • Product Roadmap: The Vera Rubin chip line is entering full production, with launches planned through 2028. This underpins long-term growth expectations.

  • AI & Data Center Demand: CEO Jensen Huang projects $3–4 trillion in global AI factory buildout by 2030, positioning NVIDIA as a key beneficiary.

  • Macro Risks: Ongoing talks with OpenAI have stalled, and any negative developments could weigh on sentiment. However, recent regulatory approvals in China are a positive offset.

Actionable Scenarios for Week 2 February 2026

Scenario

Trigger

Action

Target

Stop Loss

Bullish

Break above $192.00

Buy

$195.00

$188.00

Bearish

Close below $181.11

Sell/Short

$177.00

$184.50

Neutral

Range-bound between $184.33 and $191.13

Wait/Observe

N/A

N/A

  • Aggressive traders: Consider buying a breakout above $192.00 with a stop at $188.00 and a target of $195.00.

  • Conservative traders: Wait for a retest of support at $184.33; buy in the $184.50–$185.50 range with a stop at $181.00 and a target of $191.00.

  • Risk management: Limit risk to 1% of capital per trade and use recent ATR for stop sizing.

Summary Table

Aspect

Current Status

Trend

Sideways/Neutral

Momentum

Neutral

Volume

Increasing on up days

News Impact

Mixed, with positive China developments and upcoming earnings

Key Risk

Breakdown below $181.11

Conclusion

NVIDIA (NVDA) is consolidating ahead of a major earnings event, with technicals suggesting a neutral stance but with the potential for a breakout. News flow is mixed but leans positive, especially with China’s regulatory reversal and strong institutional support. Traders should watch for a decisive move outside the $184–$191 range for directional clues. 🧑‍💻💡

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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Julian Vance

Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.

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COPYGRAM IS A TOOL DESIGNED FOR ORDER ROUTING, ENABLING USERS TO LINK ALERTS FROM THEIR PREFERRED TRADING PLATFORM TO THEIR CHOSEN BROKERAGE OR EXCHANGE ACCOUNT. COPYGRAM ITSELF DOES NOT PROVIDE ALERTS, SIGNALS, RESEARCH, ANALYSIS, OR ANY TRADING ADVICE. THE PURPOSE OF THE COPYGRAM PLATFORM IS TO SUPPORT TRADERS AND INVESTORS IN CARRYING OUT THEIR TRADING CHOICES BASED ON THEIR OWN ALERTS OR STRATEGIES. WE DO NOT SUGGEST ANY SPECIFIC SECURITIES FOR BUYING OR SELLING AND DO NOT GIVE TRADING OR INVESTING ADVICE. OUR PLATFORM, INCLUDING ITS FEATURES, CAPABILITIES, AND TOOLS, IS OFFERED ‘AS IS’ WITHOUT WARRANTY. TRADING ANY ASSET CARRIES SIGNIFICANT RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS. IT IS ADVISABLE TO TRADE OR INVEST ONLY WITH FUNDS YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE.

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COPYGRAM IS A TOOL DESIGNED FOR ORDER ROUTING, ENABLING USERS TO LINK ALERTS FROM THEIR PREFERRED TRADING PLATFORM TO THEIR CHOSEN BROKERAGE OR EXCHANGE ACCOUNT. COPYGRAM ITSELF DOES NOT PROVIDE ALERTS, SIGNALS, RESEARCH, ANALYSIS, OR ANY TRADING ADVICE. THE PURPOSE OF THE COPYGRAM PLATFORM IS TO SUPPORT TRADERS AND INVESTORS IN CARRYING OUT THEIR TRADING CHOICES BASED ON THEIR OWN ALERTS OR STRATEGIES. WE DO NOT SUGGEST ANY SPECIFIC SECURITIES FOR BUYING OR SELLING AND DO NOT GIVE TRADING OR INVESTING ADVICE. OUR PLATFORM, INCLUDING ITS FEATURES, CAPABILITIES, AND TOOLS, IS OFFERED ‘AS IS’ WITHOUT WARRANTY. TRADING ANY ASSET CARRIES SIGNIFICANT RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS. IT IS ADVISABLE TO TRADE OR INVEST ONLY WITH FUNDS YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE.