NVIDIA (NVDA) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 1 October 2025
Ideas
Oct 1, 2025
3 Min Read
In-depth weekly analysis of NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) for Week 1 October 2025: technical chart, support/resistance, news, earnings, and actionable trading scenarios. Stay ahead with our expert NVDA outlook.
Welcome to our comprehensive weekly analysis of NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) for Week 1 of October 2025. In this report, we combine technical chart insights, recent news, and actionable scenarios to help traders and investors navigate the week ahead. 📈💡
Summary of Latest News & Catalysts 📰
Q2 Fiscal 2026 Earnings: NVIDIA reported revenue of $46.7B (up 56% YoY), with Blackwell Data Center revenue up 17% sequentially. GAAP EPS was $1.08. CEO Jensen Huang highlighted Blackwell AI as a revolutionary platform for AI demand. [Read more]
Dividend Announcement: Quarterly cash dividend of $0.01 per share to be paid on October 2, 2025. [Details]
Analyst & Macro Notes: Analysts remain bullish on NVDA, citing strong AI platform leadership and the Blackwell ramp. EPS consensus for recent quarters is $1.17. [Consensus]
Technical Analysis 🔍
Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
Trend | Uptrend – Price above 10- and 50-day EMAs, confirming bullish momentum. |
Support Levels | Major: $179.60 (previous resistance, now support); Minor: $177.00. |
Resistance Levels | Major: $190.00 (psychological); Current: $186.58. |
Pattern | Breakout from consolidation range; potential for continuation. |
Volume | Increasing on breakout, indicating strong buying interest. |
MACD | Positive cross, reinforcing bullish momentum. |
RSI | 63.23 (bullish, not overbought). |
Chart Insights 📊
Price Action: NVDA is trading above key moving averages, having broken out of a consolidation range with strong momentum.
Volume: The increase in volume during the breakout phase suggests institutional buying and strong conviction among bulls.
MACD & RSI: The MACD positive crossover and RSI at 63.23 both support the bullish case, though the RSI is not yet in overbought territory.
Fundamental & News Impact 💼
NVIDIA’s recent earnings continue to impress, with robust growth in both revenue and EPS driven by surging demand for AI platforms, especially the Blackwell series. The upcoming dividend and positive analyst sentiment further reinforce the bullish outlook. However, with the next earnings release scheduled for late August, traders should monitor for any shifts in macroeconomic conditions or sector sentiment.
Actionable Scenarios for the Upcoming Week 🚦
Scenario | Trigger/Action | Key Levels |
|---|---|---|
Bullish 📈 | Buy at current levels ($186.58) or on a pullback to $179.60. Target $190.00. Stop-loss at $179.50 (aggressive) or $177.00 (conservative). | Entry: $186.58 or $179.60 |
Bearish 📉 | Short only if price closes below $177.00. Target $172.00. Stop-loss at $179.60. | Entry: Below $177.00 |
Neutral ⏸️ | Wait for a clear break above $190.00 or below $177.00 before taking new positions. Monitor volume and news flow. | Watch: $190.00 (breakout), $177.00 (breakdown) |
Risk Management 🛡️
Risk 0.5–1% of capital per trade.
Use ATR (Average True Range) for dynamic stop placement.
Stay alert to earnings and macro news that could impact volatility.
Conclusion 🔔
NVIDIA enters October 2025 with strong technical and fundamental tailwinds. The breakout above $179.60, supported by volume and momentum indicators, suggests a high probability of further upside towards $190.00. However, prudent risk management and close monitoring of support levels are essential, especially as the next earnings date approaches. Stay nimble and adjust positions as new information emerges.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
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