Welcome to the comprehensive weekly analysis of Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) for Week 41, October 2025! In this post, we’ll break down the latest technical chart, summarize critical news and earnings, and provide actionable trading scenarios for the week. Whether you’re a trader, investor, or AI enthusiast, this analysis will help you navigate NVDA’s dynamic landscape. Let’s dive in! 🚀

📈 Technical Chart Overview

• Trend: Bullish — NVDA is trading above key moving averages, showing strong upward momentum.

• Support Levels: $182.71 (major), $177.04 (minor)

• Resistance Levels: $190.36 (major), $187.62 (minor)

• Pattern: Ascending triangle with higher lows, suggesting potential breakout.

• Volume: Increasing on up moves, tapering on pullbacks — confirms bullish conviction.

• Momentum: RSI at 63.14 (bullish, near overbought), MACD positive (bullish crossover assumed).

📰 Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)

1. Q2 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Beat: Nvidia reported revenue of $46.7B (+56% YoY), with Blackwell Data Center revenue up 17% sequentially. Gross margins reached 72.4%, and EPS was $1.08. The Blackwell Ultra AI platform ramped up production, meeting extraordinary demand. [Nvidia Newsroom]

2. Analyst Upgrades & Price Targets: Consensus rating is Moderate Buy with a price target near $211, implying 12.5% upside. Analysts forecast 43.7% EPS growth next year, with strong AI GPU demand and retail investor interest. [MarketBeat]

3. AI Infrastructure & China Strategy: Nvidia’s Blackwell Ultra and Reuben chips are ramping up, with new China-market chips pending regulatory clarity. Industry capacity (CoWoS) is expanding rapidly to meet AI demand. [AInvest]

🔍 Technical Analysis

• Trend & Structure: NVDA is in a well-defined uptrend, trading above the 10- and 20-week EMAs. The ascending triangle pattern signals bullish continuation, with higher lows forming a strong base.

• MACD: Positive, suggesting continued momentum. Watch for any bearish cross as a caution signal.

• Volume: Bullish — up days see higher volume, confirming institutional participation. Pullbacks are on lighter volume, indicating weak selling pressure.

• Support/Resistance: $182.71 is a key support; a break below $177.04 would shift bias to neutral/bearish. On the upside, $190.36 is the breakout level to watch.

• RSI: At 63.14, momentum is strong but nearing overbought — caution on aggressive entries.

💡 Fundamental & News Impact

• Earnings Strength: Massive YoY growth and margin expansion reflect Nvidia’s dominance in AI and data center chips.

• AI & Data Center Demand: Blackwell Ultra’s ramp and industry-wide AI infrastructure expansion are major tailwinds.

• China Uncertainty: New chip launches for China are pending regulatory clarity, which could impact future margins and growth rates.

• Valuation: P/E at 53.45 is below sector average, suggesting relative value given growth prospects.

• Macro Factors: Some profit-taking seen after strong gains, but sector rotation and tech optimism support NVDA’s leadership.

📊 Possible Scenarios for Week 41 (October 6–12, 2025)

Risk Management Tips

• Risk no more than 1% of capital per trade.

• Use ATR-based stops to account for volatility.

• Monitor earnings and macro news for sudden sentiment shifts.

🌟 Summary & Outlook

Nvidia enters Week 41 with strong technical momentum, robust earnings, and a bullish outlook supported by AI infrastructure demand. While some short-term profit-taking is possible, the uptrend remains intact unless $177.04 is breached. Watch for a breakout above $190.36 for further upside, and stay alert to news on China chip approvals and macro shifts. NVDA remains a top watch for traders and investors alike.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.