Welcome to our in-depth weekly analysis of Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) for Week 49, December 2025! This blog post delivers a comprehensive look at the latest price action, technical signals, fundamental news, and actionable trading scenarios for the week ahead. Whether you’re a trader or long-term investor, this analysis will help you navigate the current landscape for NFLX. 📈🎬

📰 Latest News & Key Catalysts (Nov 24 – Dec 1, 2025)

• 10-for-1 Stock Split Completed: Netflix executed a 10-for-1 stock split on November 17, 2025, reducing the share price to around $107 and increasing accessibility for retail investors. [Source]

• Strong Financial Guidance: Netflix raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance by $700 million, citing robust subscriber growth, improved ad performance, and favorable currency trends. Operating margin guidance for 2025 was also raised to 30%. [Source]

• Content & M&A Activity: The final season of "Stranger Things" premiered in late November, driving engagement. There are also reports of increased M&A activity, including speculation about a potential Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) acquisition. [Source]

📊 Technical Analysis

🔍 Chart Interpretation

• Price Action: NFLX is consolidating after a sharp pullback, with mixed signals as it attempts to recover but remains below key moving averages.

• Support/Resistance: The $104.00 level is critical support; a breakdown could trigger further downside. Resistance at $112.25 is a key hurdle for bulls.

• MACD & Volume: MACD is likely neutral to slightly bearish, reflecting the indecisive trend. Volume patterns suggest profit-taking and caution.

💡 Fundamental & News Impact

• Stock Split: The recent split has increased liquidity and retail participation, but does not change the company’s fundamentals.

• Growth Drivers: Revenue and margin guidance upgrades, strong ad-supported tier growth, and successful content launches (e.g., "Stranger Things") are positive catalysts.

• M&A Speculation: Reports of a potential WBD acquisition could drive volatility and investor interest.

• Analyst Sentiment: Remains bullish, with price targets up to $141/share by 2027, reflecting confidence in Netflix’s growth trajectory.

📅 Possible Scenarios for the Upcoming Week

📈 Trade Ideas & Risk Management

• Aggressive: Buy above $108.10 (breakout), stop loss at $105.00, target $112.25

• Conservative: Buy on confirmation of double bottom at $104.00, stop loss at $100.00, target $112.25

• Bearish: Short if price closes below $104.00, stop loss at $107.00, target $100.00

• Risk: Limit risk to 1% of account balance per trade; always use stop losses

🔑 Key Takeaways

• Netflix is at a technical crossroads, with sideways price action and mixed momentum.

• Strong fundamentals and positive news flow (stock split, content, ad growth) support the bull case, but technical resistance and profit-taking are risks.

• Watch $104.00 and $108.10 for directional cues this week.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research and consult a professional before making investment decisions.