Welcome to our in-depth weekly analysis of Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) for Week 1 of October 2025 (October 6–10, 2025). This blog post provides a comprehensive review of MSFT’s technical chart, the latest news and catalysts, fundamental context, and actionable scenarios for traders and investors. All analysis is current as of October 6, 2025.

📊 Microsoft (MSFT) Price Chart Overview

• Trend: Bullish — Price is above the 10-day moving average, with a rising RSI indicating positive momentum.

• Key Support Levels: $506.63 (major), $513.10 (minor)

• Key Resistance Levels: $520.00 (major), $530.00 (minor)

• Pattern: Minor consolidation with breakout potential above $520.00

• Volume: Increasing on up-moves, supporting bullish price action

• MACD: Not explicitly shown, but inferred positive given price action

📰 Latest News & Catalysts Impacting MSFT

🔎 Technical Analysis: MSFT for Week 1 October 2025

• Trend & Momentum: MSFT remains in a clear uptrend, with price action forming higher highs and higher lows. The price is above the 10-day EMA, and the RSI at 56.38 suggests bullish momentum with room before overbought conditions.

• Support & Resistance:

  • Major Support: $506.63 (volume profile peak)

  • Minor Support: $513.10

  • Major Resistance: $520.00 (recent swing high)

  • Minor Resistance: $530.00 (psychological level)

• Pattern: The stock is in minor consolidation, with a breakout potential above $520.00. Watch for volume confirmation on any move above this level.

• Volume & MACD: Volume is increasing on up days, supporting the strength of the move. MACD is inferred positive, aligning with the uptrend.

• Risk Management: Consider risking 1–2% of capital per trade and use ATR for precise stop-loss placement.

💡 Fundamental & News Impact

• AI Leadership: Microsoft’s recent AI announcements (Agent Framework, Azure AI Foundry) reinforce its positioning as a leader in enterprise AI, likely supporting long-term valuation and investor sentiment.

• Financial Strength: The company’s last earnings beat estimates, with 18.1% YoY revenue growth and a positive outlook for the upcoming report on October 29, 2025.

• Product Lifecycle: The end of Windows 10 support could drive upgrades to Windows 11, impacting both consumer and enterprise segments.

• Buyback Program: The ongoing stock buyback provides a floor for the stock and signals management’s confidence.

• Macro Factors: No major negative macro events reported this week; focus remains on AI, product cycles, and earnings outlook.

📈 Possible Scenarios for the Week Ahead

📝 Summary & Key Takeaways

• MSFT is technically bullish, supported by strong fundamentals and positive news flow.

• Key levels to watch: $506.63 (support), $513.10 (support), $520.00 (resistance), $530.00 (resistance).

• Upcoming earnings (Oct 29) and AI product launches are primary catalysts.

• Risk management is crucial: use stops and position sizing.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a professional before making trading decisions.