Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) Analysis & Outlook – Week 6, February 2026
Ideas
Feb 2, 2026
3 Min Read
In-depth weekly analysis of Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) for Week 6, February 2026: price chart, technical levels, earnings impact, AI investments, and actionable trading scenarios. Read for support/resistance, MACD, volume, and news insights.
Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) enters Week 6 of February 2026 at a pivotal technical and fundamental juncture. This comprehensive analysis covers the latest price action, technical levels, earnings impact, and AI-driven catalysts to help traders and investors navigate the week ahead.
📈 Chart Overview & Technical Summary
Trend: Bearish – Price rejected at $725 resistance, now below key moving averages.
Support: $661.26 (major), $629.35 (minor)
Resistance: $725.00 (major), $676.32 (minor)
Momentum: RSI at 65.64 (approaching overbought), signaling a potential pullback.
Pattern: Double top risk after rejection at resistance.
Volume: Increasing on recent rises, indicating strong selling at highs.
📰 News & Fundamental Catalysts (Past 7 Days)
Date | Headline | Summary | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
2026-01-29 | Meta Platforms Hits $2 Trillion Milestone | Shares surged ~10% post-earnings, driven by strong Q4 2025 results and AI monetization optimism. | |
2026-02-01 | Meta’s $135 Billion AI Bet | Announced 2026 capex guidance of $115–135B, focused on AI infrastructure and next-gen agentic AI. | |
2026-02-01 | Annual Results & Analyst Outlook | 2025 revenue of $201B, EPS $23.49; 2026 consensus: $249.4B revenue, $29.56 EPS, price target $858. |
🔍 Technical Analysis
Price Structure: META is in a downtrend on the daily chart, trading below both the 20- and 50-day EMAs. The recent rejection at $725 forms a potential double top, a bearish reversal pattern.
Support Levels: The primary support is at $661.26, a zone of prior consolidation. If breached, $629.35 is the next downside target.
Resistance Levels: $725.00 remains the key resistance, with minor resistance at $676.32 (near the moving averages).
MACD: The MACD is flattening, with bearish cross risk if momentum continues to fade.
Volume: Volume has increased on recent rallies, suggesting distribution (selling into strength) rather than accumulation.
RSI: At 65.64, RSI is near overbought, increasing the probability of a short-term pullback.
📊 Fundamental & News Impact
Earnings: Q4 2025 results beat expectations, with revenue of $59.89B (+24% YoY) and EPS of $8.88. Full-year 2025 revenue hit $201B, EPS $23.49.
AI Investment: 2026 capex guidance of $115–135B signals Meta’s aggressive push into AI infrastructure, including proprietary data centers and "Project Avocado." This is expected to drive long-term growth but may pressure near-term margins.
Valuation & Analyst View: Consensus price target is $858, with 2026 revenue and EPS growth forecasts at 24%. Strong cash flow supports high investment, but valuation expansion may be limited in the short term.
Macro: No major macro events directly impacting META in the past week; focus remains on internal execution and AI monetization.
📅 Possible Scenarios for Week 6, February 2026
Scenario | Trigger | Actionable Levels | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
Bullish | Daily close above $725.00 with strong volume | Buy breakout above $726.00, target $750.00; stop loss $715.00 | Low (needs new catalyst or broad tech rally) |
Bearish | Failure to reclaim $676.32 and/or break below $661.26 | Sell near $716.50 or on break below $661.00, targets $629.00–$661.00; stop loss $726.00 | Moderate to High (current trend and technical rejection) |
Neutral | Range-bound between $661.26 and $725.00 | Wait for breakout or breakdown; consider short-term range trades | Moderate (if no new news/catalyst) |
🛡️ Risk Management & Trade Ideas
Risk 1–2% of capital per trade; use ATR-based stops for flexibility.
Monitor volume and price action near key levels for confirmation.
Be alert for news on AI projects or regulatory developments that could shift sentiment.
📝 Summary & Outlook
Meta Platforms enters Week 6, February 2026, with a technically bearish bias after a post-earnings surge and rejection at major resistance. While the company’s AI-driven growth strategy and strong financials support long-term optimism, the near-term outlook is cautious due to overbought momentum and distribution signals. Traders should watch for a decisive move at $725 or $661 to set the tone for the week.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a professional before making trading decisions.

Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
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