Welcome to the JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) weekly analysis for Week 6, February 2026! In this comprehensive outlook, we’ll break down the latest technical chart signals, summarize key news and institutional flows, and provide actionable trading scenarios for the week ahead. Whether you’re an active trader or a long-term investor, this blog equips you with the insights needed to navigate JPM’s current market environment.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.

📈 Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum Dominates

• MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed, with histogram deepening below zero. This supports the case for continued downside.

• Volume: Notably higher on red days, suggesting institutional selling or risk-off sentiment.

• Chart Structure: The descending triangle is a classic bearish continuation pattern, and the lack of strong bullish reversal signals increases the probability of a breakdown.

📰 Latest News & Institutional Flows (Jan 27 – Feb 1, 2026)

1. Mixed Institutional Activity: Stock Yards Bank & Trust Co. trimmed its JPM stake by 1.9%, while iA Global Asset Management increased its holdings by 5.4%. Insider selling reached $4.95 million last quarter, reflecting some caution among top holders. [MarketBeat] [MarketBeat]

2. 2026 Guidance & Company Update: JPMorgan’s 2026 net interest income (NII) guidance is robust at ~$103 billion (+7% YoY), signaling resilience despite expected rate cuts and margin pressure. A major company update event is scheduled for February 23, 2026, which could provide new catalysts. [Zacks] [StreetInsider]

3. Valuation & Analyst Views: JPM closed at $305.89 (2.7% weekly gain, but 6% monthly loss), trading at 14.81x P/E. Consensus rating is "Hold" with a $336.32 target. Q4 2025 earnings beat estimates, and the $1.50 dividend was paid Jan 31. [Simply Wall St]

🔍 Fundamental & News Impact

• Earnings Strength: Q4 2025 EPS of $5.23 beat expectations, with revenue up 7.1% YoY. Net margin (20.35%) and ROE (17.16%) remain industry-leading.

• Dividend & Capital Return: $1.50 dividend paid January 31, 2026 (2% yield). Short interest fell 13.6% in January, suggesting less bearish speculation.

• Upcoming Catalysts: The February 23 company update could introduce new strategic initiatives or guidance revisions. Watch for commentary on deposit trends, credit quality, and M&A plans.

• Macro Sensitivity: JPM’s 2026 outlook is tied to Fed policy, deposit margins, and credit cycle dynamics. No major macro shocks reported this week, but the market remains sensitive to rate expectations.

📊 Actionable Scenarios for Week 6, February 2026

• Risk Management: Limit risk to 0.5–1% of capital per trade. Use ATR (14) for stop placement. Monitor volume and MACD for confirmation.

• Event Watch: Monitor news flow ahead of the February 23 update. Sudden changes in Fed outlook or macro data could shift sentiment rapidly.

📅 Weekly Recap & Outlook

JPMorgan Chase enters Week 6, February 2026, under clear bearish technical pressure, despite resilient fundamentals and a strong 2026 NII outlook. The price action suggests caution, with a high probability of further downside unless the $315.00 resistance is reclaimed. Institutional flows are mixed, and the upcoming company update event may act as a catalyst for a trend reversal or acceleration. Traders should remain nimble, use disciplined stops, and adjust positions as new information emerges.

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Trading involves risk.