Welcome to our comprehensive weekly analysis of Cardano (ADA/USD) for Week 47, November 2025. In this post, we’ll break down the latest price action, technical chart signals, news catalysts, and provide actionable scenarios for traders and investors. Let’s dive in! 🚀

📈 Price Chart Overview

The chart for ADA/USD this week reveals a bearish structure:

• Price is trading below both the 9-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs), confirming a downtrend.

• Support levels: $0.4800 (major), $0.4500 (minor).

• Resistance levels: $0.5247 (minor), $0.5534 (major, 50-day SMA).

• RSI: 32.53 (bearish, approaching oversold territory).

• Pattern: Potential descending triangle, with lower highs and consistent support near $0.4800.

• Volume: Increasing on declines, decreasing on recoveries, supporting the bearish bias.

📰 Latest News & Short-Term Catalysts

🔍 Technical Analysis

• Trend: The prevailing trend is bearish, with ADA trading below key moving averages. The formation of a descending triangle and persistent lower highs suggest continued downside risk.

• Support & Resistance:

  • Major support: $0.4800. A breakdown below this could accelerate declines toward $0.4500 or even $0.25 if selling intensifies.

  • Major resistance: $0.5534 (50-day SMA). A close above this would challenge the bearish bias and could trigger a short squeeze.

• MACD & Momentum: While the MACD is not explicitly provided, context suggests it is bearish. The RSI at 32.53 is near oversold, indicating a risk of a technical bounce but not yet a reversal.

• Volume: The increase in volume during declines and decrease during recoveries confirms the strength of the downtrend and lack of bullish conviction.

• Pattern: The descending triangle pattern is a classic bearish continuation setup. Watch for a breakdown or a failed breakdown for clues on the next move.

📊 Fundamental & News Impact

• Governance & Expansion: The treasury vote for exchange listings could enhance liquidity and visibility if successful, but the market is currently focused on technical levels and bearish momentum.

• Regulatory Developments: The Cardano Foundation’s effort toward a US ADA ETF is a long-term positive, but unlikely to impact short-term price action unless concrete progress is announced.

• Operational Risks: The recent $6 million loss from a dormant wallet highlights ongoing risks in the ecosystem, though not directly price-related.

• Broader Market: Heavy whale selling and macro uncertainty are weighing on ADA, with technicals taking precedence over fundamentals for now.

🧭 Actionable Scenarios for the Week Ahead

💡 Key Takeaways & Risk Management

• ADA is in a bearish technical phase, but oversold conditions could trigger a short-term bounce.

• Major news catalysts (like the treasury vote and ETF efforts) are medium- to long-term positives, but technicals dominate the current outlook.

• Traders should use prudent risk management, with position sizes and stop losses aligned to the increased volatility and downside risk.

Summary Table: ADA/USD Weekly Outlook

🔔 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.