Apple (AAPL) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 2 February 2026
Ideas
Feb 2, 2026
3 Min Read
Comprehensive weekly analysis of Apple (AAPL) for Week 2 February 2026: technical chart, earnings news, support/resistance, MACD, volume, and actionable trading scenarios.
Welcome to our in-depth weekly analysis of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) for Week 2 of February 2026. This blog post provides a comprehensive review of AAPL’s technical chart, fundamental news, and actionable trading scenarios for the week ahead. Whether you’re a swing trader, investor, or market observer, this analysis is designed to help you navigate the current landscape with clarity and confidence. 📈🍏
📊 Weekly Chart Overview
Trend: Bearish – Price is trading below the 50-week EMA with downward pressure from recent highs.
Pattern: Descending triangle forming; recent consolidation below the 50-week EMA.
Momentum: RSI at 48 (neutral, slight bearish bias); MACD histogram shows declining momentum.
Volume: Decreasing on up-moves, indicating weak buying interest.
Key Levels:
Support: $250 (major), $240 (minor)
Resistance: $265 (major), $275 (minor)
📰 Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)
Date | Headline | Summary |
|---|---|---|
2026-01-29 | Revenue hit $143.8B (+16% YoY), EPS $2.84 (+19% YoY), iPhone and Services at all-time highs. Dividend payable Feb 12, 2026. | |
2026-01-30 | Shares closed at $259.07 on Feb 1, with volume at 92.44M. Recent volatility post-earnings and AI acquisition buzz. | |
2026-01-31 | Analyst Upgrade | Phillip Securities upgraded AAPL to Neutral, raising price target to $260, citing strong iPhone 17 growth. |
🔎 Technical Analysis
Support & Resistance:
$250 – Major support, high-volume area; a break below could accelerate downside.
$240 – Minor support, next potential target if $250 fails.
$265 – Major resistance; previous swing high and key reversal area.
$275 – Minor resistance; above this, the bias may turn bullish.
Pattern: Descending triangle, typically a bearish continuation pattern. Price consolidating below the 50-week EMA, suggesting sellers remain in control.
MACD: Histogram declining, signaling weakening bullish momentum and possible continuation of the downtrend.
Volume: Decreasing on upswings, indicating lack of conviction among buyers. Watch for a volume spike on a breakdown or breakout.
RSI: At 48, neutral but with a slight bearish tilt.
💡 Fundamental & News Impact
Q1 2026 Earnings: Record revenue and EPS, driven by iPhone and Services. Strong cash flow and dividend announcement support long-term fundamentals.
AI Acquisition: Apple’s acquisition of Q.ai signals a strategic push into AI, which could be a long-term growth catalyst.
Analyst Sentiment: Recent upgrade to Neutral with a $260 target reflects cautious optimism, but not outright bullishness.
Shareholder Meeting: Scheduled for February 24, 2026, could bring additional updates or guidance.
Macro Context: No major macro headwinds reported in the past week, but tech sector volatility remains elevated.
📅 Scenario Outlook for the Upcoming Week
Scenario | Trigger | Potential Price Levels | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
Bullish 🟢 | Weekly close above $265 with strong volume | Upside to $275, then $288 (52-week high) | Low to Moderate |
Bearish 🔴 | Breakdown below $250 support | Downside to $240, then $230 | Moderate to High |
Neutral 🟡 | Range-bound between $250 and $265 | Consolidation within $250–$265 | Moderate |
Aggressive trade idea: Short at $256 (break below recent support), stop-loss $265, target $250.
Conservative trade idea: Wait for a break below $250, short at $248, stop-loss $258, target $240.
Invalidation: Weekly close above $265 would shift bias to neutral/bullish.
Risk management: Risk 1% of capital per trade; use ATR(14-week) to adjust stop-loss.
🔔 Key Takeaways
AAPL is in a clear downtrend, with bearish technicals but strong fundamental support from recent earnings and AI initiatives.
Watch $250 and $265 as critical levels for directional cues this week.
Volatility may persist as the market digests earnings and AI news.
Upcoming shareholder meeting could introduce new catalysts.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.

Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
Join our newsletter list
Sign up to get the most recent blog articles in your email every week.
More Articles









