Amazon (AMZN) Weekly Stock Analysis & Outlook – Week 41, October 2025
Ideas
Oct 6, 2025
3 Min Read
In-depth analysis of Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) for Week 41, October 2025: chart, technical and fundamental review, news, and actionable scenarios for traders.
Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) – Weekly Analysis & Outlook for Week 41, October 2025
Welcome to our comprehensive weekly analysis of Amazon (AMZN) for Week 41, October 2025. This post delivers a detailed review of the latest price action, technical and fundamental factors, and actionable trading scenarios for the week ahead. 📊📰
1. Executive Summary
Current Bias: Bearish — AMZN trades below its 10- and 20-period moving averages, with downward momentum and a descending pattern. Key support is being tested, and volume has decreased, suggesting a lack of conviction in the current trend.
2. Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)
Analyst Sentiment Remains Strong: Goldman Sachs reiterated its Buy rating on Amazon, and 45 analysts maintain a "Strong Buy" consensus with an average 12-month price target of $262.98 (about 18% upside). (source, source)
Q3 2025 Earnings Anticipation: Investors are focused on the upcoming Q3 2025 earnings report, tentatively scheduled for October 30, 2025. Consensus expects revenue of $177.86B (+11.95% YoY) and EPS of $1.57 (+9.79% YoY). (source)
Strong Financial Performance: Amazon beat Q2 2025 expectations with $167.7B in revenue and $1.68 EPS, driven by 18% YoY growth in AWS and robust advertising revenue. (source)
3. Technical Analysis
Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
Trend | Downtrend – Price below 10- and 20-day EMAs; lower highs and lows. |
Momentum | RSI at 41.56 (bearish, near oversold); MACD not available but trend suggests downward pressure. |
Support Levels | Major: 217.54; Minor: 210.00 |
Resistance Levels | Major: 222.60; Minor: 224.20 |
Pattern | Descending trend, potential for support test at 217.54. |
Volume | Decreased on recent moves, indicating less commitment to the trend. |
Interpretation:
AMZN is in a clear short-term downtrend, with price action below key moving averages and a series of lower highs and lows.
RSI near oversold may indicate a potential for a technical bounce, but momentum remains negative.
Volume contraction suggests traders are cautious, possibly awaiting the upcoming earnings catalyst.
4. Fundamental & News Impact
Amazon’s fundamentals remain robust, with strong revenue and earnings growth, especially in AWS and advertising. Analyst sentiment is highly positive, and the company continues to outperform expectations. The next major catalyst is the Q3 2025 earnings report, which could set the tone for the remainder of the year. Macro factors, such as Fed policy and tech sector sentiment, will also influence AMZN’s price action.
Metric | Q2 2025 (Reported) | Q3 2025 (Consensus) | Full Year 2025 (Consensus) |
|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | $167.7B | $177.86B | $707.21B |
EPS | $1.68 | $1.57 | $6.73 |
AWS YoY Growth | 18% | — | — |
Analyst Rating | Strong Buy | — | — |
Avg. Price Target | $262.98 | — | — |
5. Actionable Scenarios for the Upcoming Week
Based on the technical and fundamental setup, here are the most probable scenarios for AMZN this week:
Scenario | Trigger | Action | Key Levels | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bullish Reversal 📈 | Break and close above 225.00 | Consider long positions targeting 230.00–235.00 | 225.00 (trigger), 230.00–235.00 (targets) | Low to Moderate |
Bearish Continuation 📉 | Break below 217.54 | Consider short positions targeting 215.00, then 210.00 | 217.54 (trigger), 215.00/210.00 (targets) | Moderate to High |
Neutral/Range 🔄 | Price remains between 217.54 and 225.00 | Wait for breakout; range trading possible with tight stops | 217.54–225.00 (range) | Moderate |
Aggressive Bearish Play: Short at 221.00, stop loss at 224.50, target 215.00.
Conservative Bearish Play: Wait for a break below 217.54, short at 216.00, stop loss at 220.00, target 210.00.
Invalidation: A close above 225.00 would turn the bias neutral/bullish.
6. Risk Management
Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.
Use stop losses at key invalidation levels.
Monitor earnings news and macro headlines closely.
7. Conclusion
Amazon enters Week 41, October 2025, with a bearish technical bias but strong fundamental support. The upcoming earnings announcement is the key event to watch, and traders should be prepared for increased volatility. Maintain disciplined risk management and stay alert for news-driven moves. ⚠️
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
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