Amazon (AMZN) Weekly Technical & News Analysis – Week 42, October 2025
Ideas
Oct 13, 2025
3 Min Read
In-depth weekly analysis of Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) for Week 42, October 2025. Includes technical chart review, latest news, key support/resistance, earnings outlook, and actionable scenarios for traders and investors.
Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) – Weekly Analysis for October 13–19, 2025 (Week 42)
Welcome to this week’s comprehensive analysis of Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), covering the technical chart, latest news, earnings outlook, and actionable trading scenarios for the week of October 13, 2025. This review is designed to equip traders and investors with a clear, data-driven perspective on AMZN’s near-term prospects. (Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making investment decisions.)
📈 Amazon (AMZN) Price Chart Overview
The chart for AMZN this week reveals a bearish setup as the price remains below the 9-day EMA, with increasing volume on declines. Key technical features include:
Support levels: $210.00 (major), $216.00 (minor)
Resistance levels: $222.20 (major), $228.00 (minor)
Trend: Downtrend confirmed by price below 9-day EMA and downward EMA slope
Momentum: RSI at 40.14, signaling bearish momentum and possible oversold conditions
Pattern: Potential descending triangle formation
Volume: Rising on down days, suggesting strong selling interest
📰 Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)
Date | Headline | Summary | Source |
---|---|---|---|
2025-10-08 | Amazon Outpaces Market | AMZN closed at $225.22 (+1.55%), outperforming the S&P 500’s 0.58% gain. | |
2025-10-11 | October Prime Days Boost Sales | Amazon’s October Prime Days event contributed to positive sales momentum and improved investor sentiment. | |
2025-10-12 | Mixed Earnings Outlook | While revenue and operating income beat expectations, AWS profit missed and next quarter’s guidance was cautious, leading to a 3.8% post-earnings stock drop. |
🔍 Technical Analysis
Support & Resistance: The $210.00 support is crucial; a break below could trigger further downside. Resistance at $222.20 and $228.00 will likely cap rebounds in the near term.
Pattern: The descending triangle, a bearish continuation pattern, is forming as lower highs meet a flat support zone. A breakdown below $216.00 would confirm this pattern.
MACD & Volume: While the MACD is not shown, the increasing volume on down days confirms strong selling pressure. Watch for a volume spike on a support break for confirmation.
Momentum: RSI at 40.14 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, but not yet at extreme levels. This could mean a short-term bounce is possible, but the overall bias remains bearish unless key resistance is reclaimed.
📊 Fundamental & News Impact
Recent Performance: AMZN outperformed the broader market last week, but the post-earnings reaction was negative due to cautious guidance and AWS profit miss.
Earnings Outlook: The next quarterly earnings estimate is $1.57 EPS on $177.93B revenue, with full-year growth expected at 22.24% for earnings and 10.89% for revenue. Analysts’ 12-month price target is $267.77, about 23.8% upside from current levels.
Key Catalysts: October Prime Days boosted sales, but macroeconomic headwinds (tariffs, trade policy) and AWS profit concerns weigh on short-term sentiment.
🧭 Actionable Scenarios for This Week
Scenario | Action | Key Levels | Probability |
---|---|---|---|
🐻 Bearish | Short on breakdown below $216.00, target $210.00, stop-loss at $220.00. Aggressive traders may short at $221.00 with stop at $228.50, targeting $210.00. | Support: $216.00, $210.00 | High (if support breaks) |
🐂 Bullish | Long only if price reclaims $228.00 with strong volume, targeting $235.00. Stop-loss at $222.00. | Resistance: $228.00, $235.00 | Low (unless reversal confirmed) |
😐 Neutral | Wait for clear break of $216.00 (down) or $228.00 (up) before entering. Range trading possible between $216.00 and $228.00. | Range: $216.00–$228.00 | Medium |
Risk Management: Consider risking only 0.5–1.0% of capital per trade. Use ATR or volatility-based stops for dynamic risk control.
Timeframe Alignment: Daily and weekly trends both support the bearish bias, but monitor for reversal signals at major support levels.
📅 Summary & Outlook
This week, Amazon faces a technically bearish setup with strong selling pressure and key support levels in focus. While the long-term outlook remains positive due to robust earnings growth and analyst optimism, short-term risks from cautious guidance and macroeconomic headwinds persist. Traders should watch for a decisive move below $216.00 for bearish continuation, while a sustained rally above $228.00 would shift the bias to neutral or bullish. Stay alert to news flow and earnings updates for potential catalysts.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Always perform your own due diligence before trading.

Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
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