Tesla (TSLA) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 48, November 2025

Ideas

Nov 26, 2025

3 Min Read

Comprehensive weekly analysis of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) for Week 48, November 2025. Includes technical chart, key support/resistance, news impact, and actionable scenarios for traders.

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) for the week of November 24, 2025 (Week 48). This comprehensive review covers the latest price action, technical and fundamental drivers, and actionable scenarios for traders and investors.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a professional before making trading decisions.

📈 Tesla (TSLA) Chart Overview

  • Trend: Bearish – Price is below the 10- and 20-day EMAs, confirming a strong downtrend.

  • Momentum: RSI at 38.26 (bearish, approaching oversold); MACD is negative and declining.

  • Pattern: Possible descending channel with lower highs and lows.

  • Volume: Increasing on down days, confirming bearish sentiment.

📰 Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)

Date

Headline

Impact

2025-11-21

Tesla stock fell nearly 11% this week, extending its post-election decline.

Bearish: Ongoing margin pressures and fading rally.

2025-11-17

Stifel reiterates Buy rating, $508 price target after strong Q3 sales.

Bullish: Analyst optimism on AI/FSD and Robotaxi prospects.

2025-11-18

2.25 million TSLA options contracts traded in a single day.

Neutral: High volatility and speculative interest.

🔎 Technical Analysis

  • Support Levels: $380.00 (major), $323.50 (minor)

  • Resistance Levels: $412.25 (major), $409.94 (minor)

  • Trend: Downtrend – Price is below short-term EMAs, confirming bearish momentum.

  • Momentum: RSI at 38.26, approaching oversold territory; MACD negative and declining, suggesting further downside risk.

  • Pattern: Descending channel with lower highs and lows, indicating continued bearish structure.

  • Volume: Rising on down days, confirming strong selling pressure.

📊 Technical Summary Table

Indicator

Current Value

Interpretation

10-day EMA

Below price

Bearish

20-day EMA

Below price

Bearish

RSI

38.26

Bearish (approaching oversold)

MACD

Negative

Bearish momentum

Volume

Increasing on down days

Bearish confirmation

💡 Fundamental & News Impact

  • Q3 2025 Earnings: Revenue up 11.6% YoY, but EPS missed estimates. Margins under pressure, but strong free cash flow reported. (Source)

  • Analyst Sentiment: Mixed. Some analysts revised 2025 EPS forecasts downward, but long-term optimism remains due to AI/FSD and Robotaxi developments. (Source)

  • Options Activity: Record options volume signals high volatility and speculative trading. (Source)

  • Macro Factors: Expiration of U.S. EV tax credit may create headwinds for auto sales. Nvidia’s strong earnings have positively influenced the tech sector, including Tesla. (Source)

🚦 Actionable Scenarios for the Upcoming Week

Scenario

Strategy

Key Price Levels

Probability

Bullish

Wait for a break and close above $412.25 to confirm reversal. Target $429.00. Stop loss below $400.00.

Entry: $412.25+
Target: $429.00
Stop: $400.00

Low (requires strong catalyst)

Bearish

Short on break below $390.00. Target $350.00. Stop loss above $412.25.

Entry: $390.00-
Target: $350.00
Stop: $412.25

Moderate to High (trend aligned)

Neutral

Range trade between $380.00 and $412.25. Watch for volume spikes and news catalysts.

Buy near $380.00
Sell near $412.25

Moderate (if no major news)

📅 Risk Management & Timeframe Alignment

  • Risk no more than 1% of capital per trade.

  • Use ATR (14-day) to determine stop size.

  • Daily and intraday charts confirm bearish bias; short-term strategies are favored.

🔚 Conclusion

Tesla (TSLA) enters Week 48 of November 2025 with a clear bearish bias, driven by technical weakness, margin pressures, and cautious sentiment despite long-term optimism around AI and FSD. Traders should closely monitor support at $380 and resistance at $412.25, with a focus on risk management and awareness of news catalysts that could shift the outlook.

For more weekly trading insights, stay tuned to our blog.

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Julian Vance

Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.

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COPYGRAM IS A TOOL DESIGNED FOR ORDER ROUTING, ENABLING USERS TO LINK ALERTS FROM THEIR PREFERRED TRADING PLATFORM TO THEIR CHOSEN BROKERAGE OR EXCHANGE ACCOUNT. COPYGRAM ITSELF DOES NOT PROVIDE ALERTS, SIGNALS, RESEARCH, ANALYSIS, OR ANY TRADING ADVICE. THE PURPOSE OF THE COPYGRAM PLATFORM IS TO SUPPORT TRADERS AND INVESTORS IN CARRYING OUT THEIR TRADING CHOICES BASED ON THEIR OWN ALERTS OR STRATEGIES. WE DO NOT SUGGEST ANY SPECIFIC SECURITIES FOR BUYING OR SELLING AND DO NOT GIVE TRADING OR INVESTING ADVICE. OUR PLATFORM, INCLUDING ITS FEATURES, CAPABILITIES, AND TOOLS, IS OFFERED ‘AS IS’ WITHOUT WARRANTY. TRADING ANY ASSET CARRIES SIGNIFICANT RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS. IT IS ADVISABLE TO TRADE OR INVEST ONLY WITH FUNDS YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE.

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COPYGRAM IS A TOOL DESIGNED FOR ORDER ROUTING, ENABLING USERS TO LINK ALERTS FROM THEIR PREFERRED TRADING PLATFORM TO THEIR CHOSEN BROKERAGE OR EXCHANGE ACCOUNT. COPYGRAM ITSELF DOES NOT PROVIDE ALERTS, SIGNALS, RESEARCH, ANALYSIS, OR ANY TRADING ADVICE. THE PURPOSE OF THE COPYGRAM PLATFORM IS TO SUPPORT TRADERS AND INVESTORS IN CARRYING OUT THEIR TRADING CHOICES BASED ON THEIR OWN ALERTS OR STRATEGIES. WE DO NOT SUGGEST ANY SPECIFIC SECURITIES FOR BUYING OR SELLING AND DO NOT GIVE TRADING OR INVESTING ADVICE. OUR PLATFORM, INCLUDING ITS FEATURES, CAPABILITIES, AND TOOLS, IS OFFERED ‘AS IS’ WITHOUT WARRANTY. TRADING ANY ASSET CARRIES SIGNIFICANT RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS. IT IS ADVISABLE TO TRADE OR INVEST ONLY WITH FUNDS YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE.