Tesla (TSLA) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 48, November 2025
Ideas
Nov 26, 2025
3 Min Read
Comprehensive weekly analysis of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) for Week 48, November 2025. Includes technical chart, key support/resistance, news impact, and actionable scenarios for traders.
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) for the week of November 24, 2025 (Week 48). This comprehensive review covers the latest price action, technical and fundamental drivers, and actionable scenarios for traders and investors.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a professional before making trading decisions.
📈 Tesla (TSLA) Chart Overview
Trend: Bearish – Price is below the 10- and 20-day EMAs, confirming a strong downtrend.
Momentum: RSI at 38.26 (bearish, approaching oversold); MACD is negative and declining.
Pattern: Possible descending channel with lower highs and lows.
Volume: Increasing on down days, confirming bearish sentiment.
📰 Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)
Date | Headline | Impact |
|---|---|---|
2025-11-21 | Tesla stock fell nearly 11% this week, extending its post-election decline. | Bearish: Ongoing margin pressures and fading rally. |
2025-11-17 | Stifel reiterates Buy rating, $508 price target after strong Q3 sales. | Bullish: Analyst optimism on AI/FSD and Robotaxi prospects. |
2025-11-18 | Neutral: High volatility and speculative interest. |
🔎 Technical Analysis
Support Levels: $380.00 (major), $323.50 (minor)
Resistance Levels: $412.25 (major), $409.94 (minor)
Trend: Downtrend – Price is below short-term EMAs, confirming bearish momentum.
Momentum: RSI at 38.26, approaching oversold territory; MACD negative and declining, suggesting further downside risk.
Pattern: Descending channel with lower highs and lows, indicating continued bearish structure.
Volume: Rising on down days, confirming strong selling pressure.
📊 Technical Summary Table
Indicator | Current Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
10-day EMA | Below price | Bearish |
20-day EMA | Below price | Bearish |
RSI | 38.26 | Bearish (approaching oversold) |
MACD | Negative | Bearish momentum |
Volume | Increasing on down days | Bearish confirmation |
💡 Fundamental & News Impact
Q3 2025 Earnings: Revenue up 11.6% YoY, but EPS missed estimates. Margins under pressure, but strong free cash flow reported. (Source)
Analyst Sentiment: Mixed. Some analysts revised 2025 EPS forecasts downward, but long-term optimism remains due to AI/FSD and Robotaxi developments. (Source)
Options Activity: Record options volume signals high volatility and speculative trading. (Source)
Macro Factors: Expiration of U.S. EV tax credit may create headwinds for auto sales. Nvidia’s strong earnings have positively influenced the tech sector, including Tesla. (Source)
🚦 Actionable Scenarios for the Upcoming Week
Scenario | Strategy | Key Price Levels | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
Bullish | Wait for a break and close above $412.25 to confirm reversal. Target $429.00. Stop loss below $400.00. | Entry: $412.25+ | Low (requires strong catalyst) |
Bearish | Short on break below $390.00. Target $350.00. Stop loss above $412.25. | Entry: $390.00- | Moderate to High (trend aligned) |
Neutral | Range trade between $380.00 and $412.25. Watch for volume spikes and news catalysts. | Buy near $380.00 | Moderate (if no major news) |
📅 Risk Management & Timeframe Alignment
Risk no more than 1% of capital per trade.
Use ATR (14-day) to determine stop size.
Daily and intraday charts confirm bearish bias; short-term strategies are favored.
🔚 Conclusion
Tesla (TSLA) enters Week 48 of November 2025 with a clear bearish bias, driven by technical weakness, margin pressures, and cautious sentiment despite long-term optimism around AI and FSD. Traders should closely monitor support at $380 and resistance at $412.25, with a focus on risk management and awareness of news catalysts that could shift the outlook.
For more weekly trading insights, stay tuned to our blog.

Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
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