Welcome to the in-depth weekly analysis of NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) for Week 48, November 2025. This post provides a comprehensive technical and fundamental outlook, including a generated price chart (see above), key support/resistance levels, MACD and volume interpretation, major news catalysts, and actionable trading scenarios for the week ahead. All information is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.

📰 Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)

• Blockbuster Q3 Earnings: NVIDIA reported record Q3 FY2026 earnings with $57 billion in revenue (+62% YoY), gross margins of 73-74%, and EPS of ~$1.30 (+60-67% YoY). Q4 revenue guidance was raised to ~$65 billion, driven by strong demand for Blackwell and Rubin AI GPU platforms. [Source]

• Post-Earnings Volatility & Analyst Upgrades: Shares surged over 5% post-earnings to ~$196 before retreating to ~$179-180 amid valuation concerns and AI bubble jitters. Major analysts (Truist, DA Davidson, Evercore ISI) raised price targets, with consensus 12-month targets averaging $246-258. [Source]

• Strategic Partnerships & Macro Factors: NVIDIA announced a $1.4B AI supercomputer partnership with Foxconn and continues to navigate U.S.-China export policy shifts. The company returned $37B to shareholders YTD and has $62.2B in repurchase authorization remaining. [Source]

📊 Technical Analysis: NVDA Chart Review (Week 48, 2025)

🔍 Interpretation

• The weekly chart confirms a bearish structure: price is below both the 10-week and 50-week moving averages, and the RSI is in bearish territory.

• Volume analysis shows increased selling pressure on down days, suggesting institutional distribution.

• MACD has crossed below the signal line, reinforcing the downside momentum.

• Key support at $172.93 is critical; a break below could accelerate downside toward $160.00.

• Resistance at $187.70 and $197.41 are potential reversal or short entry zones.

🧮 Fundamental & News Impact

• Earnings Strength: NVIDIA’s Q3 results and Q4 guidance highlight continued AI chip leadership and robust demand, but high expectations are now priced in.

• Valuation & Sentiment: Despite strong fundamentals, valuation concerns and AI bubble debate have led to post-earnings volatility and profit-taking.

• Macro & Geopolitics: U.S.-China export policy and competitive threats from AMD, Intel, and custom AI chips remain key risks. Fed rate decisions and macro volatility also impact sentiment.

• Capital Returns: Aggressive buybacks and dividends continue to support the stock, but may not offset broad market risk in the short term.

🚦 Trading Scenarios for the Upcoming Week

• Aggressive Bearish: Consider short entries on rallies toward $178.00–$187.70, with stops above $197.50 and targets at $160.00.

• Conservative Bearish: Wait for a confirmed weekly close below $172.93 before initiating new shorts.

• Bullish Reversal: Only consider long trades if price reclaims $187.70 and closes above $197.41 on strong volume.

• Risk Management: Limit risk to 0.5–1% of capital per trade; use ATR(14-week) for stop placement.

📅 Summary Table: NVDA Key Levels & Outlook

📝 Final Thoughts

NVIDIA remains a global AI leader, but the technical setup for Week 48, November 2025, is bearish with a risk of further downside if $172.93 fails to hold. While strong earnings and analyst upgrades support the long-term story, short-term traders should respect the current downtrend and manage risk carefully. Watch for macro headlines, U.S.-China news, and volume spikes at key levels for clues to the next move.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading stocks involves risk. Please conduct your own research or consult a professional advisor before making investment decisions.