Netflix (NFLX) Weekly Analysis & Outlook – Week 48, November 2025
Ideas
Nov 26, 2025
3 Min Read
Comprehensive weekly analysis of Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) for Week 48, November 2025. Includes technical chart review, latest news, stock split impact, support/resistance, and actionable scenarios for traders.
Welcome to our in-depth weekly analysis of Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) for Week 48, November 2025! This post delivers a comprehensive technical and fundamental review, including the latest news, actionable trading scenarios, and a professional outlook for the coming week. 📊
1. Latest News & Key Developments 📰
10-for-1 Stock Split: Netflix executed a 10-for-1 stock split effective November 17, 2025, reducing the share price to around $104–$105 (from over $1,000 pre-split), aiming to increase accessibility for retail investors. [source]
Q3 2025 Earnings: Netflix missed EPS expectations ($5.87 vs. $6.96 forecast) but met revenue projections at $11.51B. The miss was mainly due to higher Brazilian tax expenses. The stock rose 0.23% post-earnings, showing investor resilience. [source]
Analyst Sentiment: 34 analysts rate NFLX as a "Buy" with a 12-month price target of $134.13 (28.6% upside). Earnings are expected to grow 20.55% next year. [source]
2. Technical Analysis 📉
Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
Trend | Bearish; price below 10- and 20-day EMAs, consistent lower highs/lows |
Support Levels | Major: $103.00 (recent low); Minor: $98.50 |
Resistance Levels | Major: $111.25 (volume profile); Minor: $122.12 |
Pattern | Possible descending triangle; flat base near $103.00 |
Momentum | RSI 34.78 (bearish/oversold); declining MACD |
Volume | Increasing on down moves, confirming selling pressure |
Chart Structure: The descending triangle pattern with a flat base at $103.00 signals possible further downside if support breaks.
MACD: Bearish crossover and declining, supporting the downtrend.
Volume: Spikes on red days indicate strong selling interest.
3. Fundamental & News Impact 🔎
Stock Split: While the split increases accessibility, it does not affect intrinsic value. Short-term volatility is possible as new retail investors enter.
Earnings Miss: The Q3 EPS miss was shrugged off by the market, as revenue remained strong and the miss was attributed to a one-off tax event.
Analyst Optimism: Despite the current technical weakness, long-term analyst sentiment remains positive, with robust earnings growth forecasts and a high price target.
Valuation: NFLX trades at a premium (P/E ~45), reflecting high growth expectations but also increasing downside risk if growth falters.
4. Actionable Scenarios for the Upcoming Week 📆
Scenario | Trigger | Potential Move | Key Levels |
|---|---|---|---|
Bullish | Break and daily close above $112.25 | Potential rally toward $122.12; reversal signals needed | Entry: $113.00; Target: $122.00; Stop: $109.00 |
Bearish | Break below $103.00 support | Further decline toward $98.50 or lower | Entry: $102.50; Target: $98.00; Stop: $106.00 |
Neutral | Range-bound between $103.00 and $111.25 | Choppy trading; watch for volume spikes and news catalysts | Buy dips near $103.00; Sell rallies near $111.25 |
Risk Management: Limit risk to 1% of capital per trade. Use ATR(10-day) for stop placement. Monitor for reversal signals if price closes above $112.25.
Timeframe Alignment: Daily and weekly charts are bearish; intraday shows volatility. Swing traders should favor short setups until reversal signals appear.
5. Summary Table 📋
Factor | Current Status |
|---|---|
Trend | Bearish |
Support | $103.00 (major), $98.50 (minor) |
Resistance | $111.25 (major), $122.12 (minor) |
Pattern | Descending triangle |
MACD | Bearish |
Volume | Increasing on down moves |
Analyst Outlook | Positive (Buy, 28.6% upside target) |
Valuation | Premium (P/E ~45) |
6. Conclusion ✅
Netflix (NFLX) enters Week 48, November 2025, with a bearish technical setup, pressured by a descending triangle and strong selling volume. The recent stock split and Q3 earnings miss have not derailed long-term optimism, but traders should be cautious of further downside if $103.00 fails. Watch for reversal signals above $112.25, and manage risk carefully as volatility persists. ⚠️
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
Join our newsletter list
Sign up to get the most recent blog articles in your email every week.
More Articles
