Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) Weekly Technical & News Analysis – Week 2, January 2026
Ideas
Jan 13, 2026
3 Min Read
In-depth weekly analysis of Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) for Week 2, January 2026: chart review, key news, technical and fundamental trends, and actionable scenarios for traders and investors.
Welcome to our comprehensive weekly analysis of Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) for Week 2, January 2026. This blog delivers a detailed review of NFLX’s technical chart, recent news, fundamental context, and actionable trading scenarios for the week ahead. Whether you’re a trader or a long-term investor, this analysis will help you navigate the current market landscape for Netflix. 📊
1. Weekly Chart Overview
Trend: Bearish – Price remains below key moving averages, confirming a downtrend.
Pattern: Descending channel with repeated rejections at lower levels.
Momentum: RSI at 27.27 (oversold), suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce, but the overall bias remains bearish.
Volume: Increasing on downward moves, indicating strong selling pressure.
Key Support: $88.00 (major), $85.00 (minor)
Key Resistance: $92.00 (major), $93.34 (minor)
Indicator | Current Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
Price | $89.44 | Near major support, under pressure |
RSI | 27.27 | Oversold (risk of short-term bounce) |
MACD | Bearish | Downtrend continuation |
Volume | High on down days | Strong selling pressure |
10/21 EMA | Price below both | Bearish confirmation |
2. Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)
Stock Performance: NFLX closed at $89.44 on Jan 10, down 1.21% for the day, underperforming major indices. [Zacks]
Warner Bros. Discovery Bid: Netflix’s bid for Warner Bros. Discovery has raised investor concerns about deal risk, regulatory scrutiny, and integration challenges. WBD’s board supports Netflix’s offer, rejecting a higher competing bid from Paramount/Skydance. [Robinhood]
Analyst Action: Goldman Sachs cut its price target from $130 to $112, maintaining a Neutral rating. The stock is down ~27% since the previous Goldman note. [Nasdaq]
3. Technical Analysis
Support Levels: $88.00 (major), $85.00 (minor)
Resistance Levels: $92.00 (major), $93.34 (minor)
Trend: Downtrend, with price below 10- and 21-day EMAs
Pattern: Descending channel; price continues to reject at lower levels
MACD: Bearish, confirming downtrend momentum
Volume: High on down days, confirming strong selling pressure
RSI: Oversold (27.27), suggesting risk of a short-term bounce but overall bearish bias
Technical Table
Level | Price | Significance |
|---|---|---|
Major Support | $88.00 | Recent swing low, critical for bulls |
Minor Support | $85.00 | Potential target if $88.00 breaks |
Major Resistance | $92.00 | Above 10-day EMA, key for reversal |
Minor Resistance | $93.34 | Short-term ceiling |
4. Fundamental & News Impact
Upcoming Earnings: Netflix is scheduled to report earnings on Jan 20, 2026. Consensus expects EPS of $0.55 (+27.91% YoY) and revenue of $11.97B (+16.79% YoY). Full-year EPS is projected at $2.53 (+27.78%), with revenue flat at $45.09B.
Valuation: Forward P/E of 28.18, a premium to industry average (11.69). NFLX is in the top 45% of its industry but remains vulnerable to de-rating if growth disappoints.
Strategic Moves: The Warner Bros. Discovery bid is a major overhang, with legal and integration risks. Analysts highlight Netflix’s growth levers in advertising and international markets, but also note its lack of direct AI exposure compared to other tech giants.
Macro Sensitivity: As a consumer discretionary/media stock, NFLX is sensitive to consumer spending and sector consolidation trends.
5. Actionable Scenarios for the Week Ahead
Scenario | Trigger | Action | Target | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bullish | Sustained break above $92.00 | Consider long positions | $94.00–$96.00 | $90.00 |
Bearish | Rejection at $92.00 or breakdown below $88.00 | Short positions | $85.00 | $91.00 |
Neutral | Range-bound between $88.00–$92.00 | Wait for breakout or breakdown | N/A | N/A |
Aggressive traders: Short near $92.00 with stop at $94.00, target $88.00; or wait for breakdown below $88.00 to short toward $85.00.
Conservative traders: Wait for confirmation of breakout or breakdown before entering new positions.
Risk management: Limit risk to 1% of capital per trade; consider ATR-based stops to adjust for volatility.
6. Key Takeaways & Outlook
Bearish bias persists with price below key moving averages and strong selling volume.
Oversold RSI suggests a possible short-term bounce, but no reversal signal yet.
Major news risk: Warner Bros. Discovery bid and upcoming earnings (Jan 20) are critical catalysts.
Trading focus: Watch $88.00 and $92.00 for directional clues.
Stay vigilant for news updates and earnings surprises that could shift sentiment quickly. 📈
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.

Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
Join our newsletter list
Sign up to get the most recent blog articles in your email every week.
More Articles









