Ethereum (ETH/USD) Weekly Outlook & Technical Analysis – Week 48 November 2025
Ideas
Nov 26, 2025
3 Min Read
Comprehensive Ethereum (ETH/USD) analysis for the week of November 24, 2025: technical breakdown, latest news, support/resistance, and actionable scenarios. Stay ahead with expert crypto insights.
Welcome to the in-depth Ethereum (ETH/USD) analysis for the week of November 24, 2025 (Week 48). This comprehensive review covers the latest price action, technical and fundamental drivers, and actionable scenarios for traders and investors.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves risk.
📊 Ethereum (ETH/USD) Chart Overview
Trend: Bearish — price below 10- and 20-day EMAs, confirming a downtrend.
Momentum: RSI at 29.47 (oversold), suggesting a possible short-term rebound but continued bearish pressure.
Pattern: Descending channel, with recent declines reinforcing the downtrend.
Volume: Increasing on downturns, indicating strong selling interest.
📰 Latest News & Catalysts (Past 7 Days)
Headline | Summary | Source |
|---|---|---|
Ethereum Faces Macro Headwinds as Liquidity Tightens | ETH slipped nearly 6.5% this week as the broader crypto market recalibrates after intense leveraged liquidations. Macro headwinds include rising U.S. Treasury yields and cautious institutional flows. | |
Massive Liquidations & Leverage Reset | Over $650M in crypto liquidations in 72 hours, with $130M in ETH long positions liquidated. Funding rates normalized, setting the stage for a possible rebound but risk remains high. | |
Critical Technical Levels & Sentiment | ETH traded between $2,770 and $2,860 on Nov 23, testing key support. Bulls need a recovery above $3,150–$3,300 to regain control; otherwise, sellers remain dominant. |
🔎 Technical Analysis
Support Levels:
Major: $2,767.73 (recent swing low)
Minor: $2,600.00
Resistance Levels:
Major: $2,938.74 (EMA resistance)
Minor: $3,138.31
Trend & Momentum:
Downtrend confirmed by price below 10- and 20-day EMAs.
RSI at 29.47 indicates oversold, suggesting a potential short-term bounce but not a trend reversal yet.
MACD remains bearish, supporting the downtrend scenario.
Volume: Spikes on down days highlight strong selling interest and reinforce bearish sentiment.
Pattern: ETH is trading within a descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows.
📈 Chart Summary Table
Indicator | Current Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
RSI | 29.47 | Oversold, possible short-term rebound |
MACD | Bearish | Downtrend likely to persist |
Volume | Rising on declines | Strong selling pressure |
Price vs. EMA | Below 10- & 20-day | Bearish trend confirmed |
🧭 Fundamental & News Impact
Macro Headwinds: Tightening liquidity, rising U.S. yields, and cautious institutional flows are weighing on ETH.
Liquidations: Recent large-scale liquidations and leverage resets have increased volatility and risk.
ETF Outflows: Over $728M in outflows from Ethereum-related ETFs signal investor caution.
Institutional Accumulation: Despite the selloff, some institutions are accumulating ETH, hinting at selective long-term confidence.
No Major Protocol News: No significant upgrades or company-specific headlines this week; price action is driven by macro and market structure.
🔮 Possible Scenarios for the Upcoming Week
Scenario | Description | Key Price Levels | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
🐻 Bearish | Continuation of downtrend. ETH fails to reclaim $2,938.74, retests $2,767.73, and risks further decline to $2,600 or lower if selling accelerates. | Below $2,938.74; watch $2,767.73 and $2,600 | High |
🐂 Bullish | Short-term rebound from oversold RSI. ETH reclaims $2,938.74 and targets $3,138.31. Sustained move above $3,200 could shift bias to neutral/bullish. | Above $2,938.74; next $3,138.31, then $3,200 | Moderate |
⚖️ Neutral | ETH consolidates between $2,767.73 and $2,938.74, awaiting new catalysts. Volatility remains elevated but no clear trend emerges. | $2,767.73–$2,938.74 range | Moderate |
💡 Actionable Trade Ideas
Aggressive: Consider short entries at $2,938 (EMA resistance retest), stop-loss at $3,050, target $2,767. Rationale: Continuation of downtrend.
Conservative: Wait for a bounce to $3,138 before shorting, stop-loss at $3,200, target $2,767. Rationale: Higher probability if resistance holds.
Invalidation: A close above $3,200 could shift bias to neutral/bullish and warrant reevaluation.
Risk Management: Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade; consider ATR-based stops to adjust for volatility.
📅 Weekly Recap & Outlook
Ethereum enters Week 48 of 2025 under significant bearish pressure, with technical and macro signals aligned for a cautious approach. Key support at $2,767.73 is critical; a break below could trigger further downside. Traders should monitor volume spikes, liquidation data, and macro headlines for early signs of reversal or continuation.
Stay tuned for next week’s update as the ETH market navigates a pivotal technical and macro crossroads.
For more crypto insights, keep following our weekly analysis.
Julian Vance
Julian Vance is a quantitative strategist focused on algorithmic trading in crypto and futures. His work is dedicated to exploring how traders can leverage technology and data to gain a competitive edge.
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